What Is Ausnutria Dairy's (HKG:1717) P/E Ratio After Its Share Price Rocketed?

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It's great to see Ausnutria Dairy (HKG:1717) shareholders have their patience rewarded with a 32% share price pop in the last month. And the full year gain of 28% isn't too shabby, either!

Assuming no other changes, a sharply higher share price makes a stock less attractive to potential buyers. In the long term, share prices tend to follow earnings per share, but in the short term prices bounce around in response to short term factors (which are not always obvious). The implication here is that deep value investors might steer clear when expectations of a company are too high. Perhaps the simplest way to get a read on investors' expectations of a business is to look at its Price to Earnings Ratio (PE Ratio). Investors have optimistic expectations of companies with higher P/E ratios, compared to companies with lower P/E ratios.

See our latest analysis for Ausnutria Dairy

How Does Ausnutria Dairy's P/E Ratio Compare To Its Peers?

We can tell from its P/E ratio of 22.55 that there is some investor optimism about Ausnutria Dairy. As you can see below, Ausnutria Dairy has a higher P/E than the average company (15.0) in the food industry.

SEHK:1717 Price Estimation Relative to Market, March 1st 2020
SEHK:1717 Price Estimation Relative to Market, March 1st 2020

That means that the market expects Ausnutria Dairy will outperform other companies in its industry. The market is optimistic about the future, but that doesn't guarantee future growth. So investors should delve deeper. I like to check if company insiders have been buying or selling.

How Growth Rates Impact P/E Ratios

P/E ratios primarily reflect market expectations around earnings growth rates. That's because companies that grow earnings per share quickly will rapidly increase the 'E' in the equation. And in that case, the P/E ratio itself will drop rather quickly. Then, a lower P/E should attract more buyers, pushing the share price up.

Ausnutria Dairy increased earnings per share by an impressive 17% over the last twelve months.

Don't Forget: The P/E Does Not Account For Debt or Bank Deposits

Don't forget that the P/E ratio considers market capitalization. That means it doesn't take debt or cash into account. Theoretically, a business can improve its earnings (and produce a lower P/E in the future) by investing in growth. That means taking on debt (or spending its cash).

While growth expenditure doesn't always pay off, the point is that it is a good option to have; but one that the P/E ratio ignores.

How Does Ausnutria Dairy's Debt Impact Its P/E Ratio?

The extra options and safety that comes with Ausnutria Dairy's CN¥271m net cash position means that it deserves a higher P/E than it would if it had a lot of net debt.

The Bottom Line On Ausnutria Dairy's P/E Ratio

Ausnutria Dairy trades on a P/E ratio of 22.6, which is above its market average of 9.6. With cash in the bank the company has plenty of growth options -- and it is already on the right track. Therefore it seems reasonable that the market would have relatively high expectations of the company What we know for sure is that investors have become much more excited about Ausnutria Dairy recently, since they have pushed its P/E ratio from 17.1 to 22.6 over the last month. For those who prefer to invest with the flow of momentum, that might mean it's time to put the stock on a watchlist, or research it. But the contrarian may see it as a missed opportunity.

Investors should be looking to buy stocks that the market is wrong about. As value investor Benjamin Graham famously said, 'In the short run, the market is a voting machine but in the long run, it is a weighing machine. So this free report on the analyst consensus forecasts could help you make a master move on this stock.

Of course you might be able to find a better stock than Ausnutria Dairy. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have grown earnings strongly.

If you spot an error that warrants correction, please contact the editor at editorial-team@simplywallst.com. This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Simply Wall St has no position in the stocks mentioned.

We aim to bring you long-term focused research analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Thank you for reading.

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