Is It Time To Buy Auckland International Airport Limited (NZSE:AIA)?

Auckland International Airport Limited (NZSE:AIA), a transportation company based in New Zealand, saw significant share price volatility over the past couple of months on the NZSE, rising to the highs of $7.17 and falling to the lows of $6.31. This high level of volatility gives investors the opportunity to enter into the stock, and potentially buy at an artificially low price. A question to answer is whether AIA's current trading price of $6.47 reflective of the actual value of the mid-cap? Or is it currently undervalued, providing us with the opportunity to buy? Let’s take a look at AIA’s outlook and value based on the most recent financial data to see if there are any catalysts for a price change. View our latest analysis for Auckland International Airport

Is AIA still cheap?

Great news for investors – AIA is still trading at a fairly cheap price. I’ve used the price-to-equity ratio in this instance because there’s not enough visibility to forecast its cash flows. The stock’s ratio of 23.1x is currently well-below the industry average of 66.9x, meaning that it is trading at a cheaper price relative to its peers. Another thing to keep in mind is that AIA’s share price is quite stable relative to the rest of the market, as indicated by its low beta. This means that if you believe the current share price should move towards its intrinsic value over time, a low beta could suggest it is not likely to reach that level anytime soon, and once it’s there, it may be hard to fall back down into an attractive buying range again.

Can we expect growth from AIA?

NZSE:AIA Future Profit Sep 22nd 17
NZSE:AIA Future Profit Sep 22nd 17

Future outlook is an important aspect when you’re looking at buying a stock, especially if you are an investor looking for growth in your portfolio.Although value investors would argue that it’s the intrinsic value relative to the price that matter the most, a more compelling investment thesis would be high growth potential at a cheap price. Though in the case of AIA, it is expected to deliver a highly negative earnings growth in the next few years, which doesn’t help build up its investment thesis. It appears that risk of future uncertainty is high, at least in the near term.

What this means for you:

Are you a shareholder? Although AIA is currently undervalued, the negative outlook does bring on some uncertainty, which equates to higher risk. I recommend you think about whether you want to increase your portfolio exposure to AIA, or whether diversifying into another stock may be a better move for your total risk and return.

Are you a potential investor? If you’ve been keeping tabs on AIA for some time, but hesitant on making the leap, I recommend you research further into the stock. Given its current undervaluation, now is a great time to make a decision. But keep in mind the risks that come with negative growth prospects in the future.