Those Who Purchased Dutech Holdings (SGX:CZ4) Shares Three Years Ago Have A 57% Loss To Show For It

The truth is that if you invest for long enough, you're going to end up with some losing stocks. But the long term shareholders of Dutech Holdings Limited (SGX:CZ4) have had an unfortunate run in the last three years. Unfortunately, they have held through a 57% decline in the share price in that time. Shareholders have had an even rougher run lately, with the share price down 26% in the last 90 days. But this could be related to the weak market, which is down 24% in the same period.

See our latest analysis for Dutech Holdings

While markets are a powerful pricing mechanism, share prices reflect investor sentiment, not just underlying business performance. One way to examine how market sentiment has changed over time is to look at the interaction between a company's share price and its earnings per share (EPS).

During the three years that the share price fell, Dutech Holdings's earnings per share (EPS) dropped by 14% each year. The share price decline of 25% is actually steeper than the EPS slippage. So it seems the market was too confident about the business, in the past. The less favorable sentiment is reflected in its current P/E ratio of 4.42.

The image below shows how EPS has tracked over time (if you click on the image you can see greater detail).

SGX:CZ4 Past and Future Earnings, March 19th 2020
SGX:CZ4 Past and Future Earnings, March 19th 2020

Before buying or selling a stock, we always recommend a close examination of historic growth trends, available here.

What About Dividends?

As well as measuring the share price return, investors should also consider the total shareholder return (TSR). The TSR incorporates the value of any spin-offs or discounted capital raisings, along with any dividends, based on the assumption that the dividends are reinvested. It's fair to say that the TSR gives a more complete picture for stocks that pay a dividend. In the case of Dutech Holdings, it has a TSR of -53% for the last 3 years. That exceeds its share price return that we previously mentioned. And there's no prize for guessing that the dividend payments largely explain the divergence!

A Different Perspective

While it's never nice to take a loss, Dutech Holdings shareholders can take comfort that , including dividends, their trailing twelve month loss of 9.1% wasn't as bad as the market loss of around 22%. Given the total loss of 3.8% per year over five years, it seems returns have deteriorated in the last twelve months. Whilst Baron Rothschild does tell the investor "buy when there's blood in the streets, even if the blood is your own", buyers would need to examine the data carefully to be comfortable that the business itself is sound. While it is well worth considering the different impacts that market conditions can have on the share price, there are other factors that are even more important. Consider for instance, the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 5 warning signs with Dutech Holdings (at least 1 which makes us a bit uncomfortable) , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.

Of course, you might find a fantastic investment by looking elsewhere. So take a peek at this free list of companies we expect will grow earnings.

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on SG exchanges.

If you spot an error that warrants correction, please contact the editor at editorial-team@simplywallst.com. This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Simply Wall St has no position in the stocks mentioned.

We aim to bring you long-term focused research analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Thank you for reading.

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