A Sliding Share Price Has Us Looking At Perfect Shape Medical Limited's (HKG:1830) P/E Ratio

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To the annoyance of some shareholders, Perfect Shape Medical (HKG:1830) shares are down a considerable 31% in the last month. That drop has capped off a tough year for shareholders, with the share price down 30% in that time.

All else being equal, a share price drop should make a stock more attractive to potential investors. While the market sentiment towards a stock is very changeable, in the long run, the share price will tend to move in the same direction as earnings per share. So, on certain occasions, long term focussed investors try to take advantage of pessimistic expectations to buy shares at a better price. Perhaps the simplest way to get a read on investors' expectations of a business is to look at its Price to Earnings Ratio (PE Ratio). Investors have optimistic expectations of companies with higher P/E ratios, compared to companies with lower P/E ratios.

See our latest analysis for Perfect Shape Medical

How Does Perfect Shape Medical's P/E Ratio Compare To Its Peers?

We can tell from its P/E ratio of 5.30 that sentiment around Perfect Shape Medical isn't particularly high. The image below shows that Perfect Shape Medical has a lower P/E than the average (13.9) P/E for companies in the consumer services industry.

SEHK:1830 Price Estimation Relative to Market, March 17th 2020
SEHK:1830 Price Estimation Relative to Market, March 17th 2020

Its relatively low P/E ratio indicates that Perfect Shape Medical shareholders think it will struggle to do as well as other companies in its industry classification. Since the market seems unimpressed with Perfect Shape Medical, it's quite possible it could surprise on the upside. It is arguably worth checking if insiders are buying shares, because that might imply they believe the stock is undervalued.

How Growth Rates Impact P/E Ratios

Probably the most important factor in determining what P/E a company trades on is the earnings growth. When earnings grow, the 'E' increases, over time. That means unless the share price increases, the P/E will reduce in a few years. And as that P/E ratio drops, the company will look cheap, unless its share price increases.

Perfect Shape Medical increased earnings per share by a whopping 45% last year. And it has bolstered its earnings per share by 28% per year over the last five years. So we'd generally expect it to have a relatively high P/E ratio.

A Limitation: P/E Ratios Ignore Debt and Cash In The Bank

The 'Price' in P/E reflects the market capitalization of the company. Thus, the metric does not reflect cash or debt held by the company. In theory, a company can lower its future P/E ratio by using cash or debt to invest in growth.

While growth expenditure doesn't always pay off, the point is that it is a good option to have; but one that the P/E ratio ignores.

How Does Perfect Shape Medical's Debt Impact Its P/E Ratio?

With net cash of HK$494m, Perfect Shape Medical has a very strong balance sheet, which may be important for its business. Having said that, at 21% of its market capitalization the cash hoard would contribute towards a higher P/E ratio.

The Bottom Line On Perfect Shape Medical's P/E Ratio

Perfect Shape Medical has a P/E of 5.3. That's below the average in the HK market, which is 9.2. It grew its EPS nicely over the last year, and the healthy balance sheet implies there is more potential for growth. The relatively low P/E ratio implies the market is pessimistic. Given Perfect Shape Medical's P/E ratio has declined from 7.6 to 5.3 in the last month, we know for sure that the market is more worried about the business today, than it was back then. For those who prefer invest in growth, this stock apparently offers limited promise, but the deep value investors may find the pessimism around this stock enticing.

When the market is wrong about a stock, it gives savvy investors an opportunity. If it is underestimating a company, investors can make money by buying and holding the shares until the market corrects itself. We don't have analyst forecasts, but you might want to assess this data-rich visualization of earnings, revenue and cash flow.

But note: Perfect Shape Medical may not be the best stock to buy. So take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a P/E ratio below 20).

If you spot an error that warrants correction, please contact the editor at editorial-team@simplywallst.com. This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Simply Wall St has no position in the stocks mentioned.

We aim to bring you long-term focused research analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Thank you for reading.

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