A Rising Share Price Has Us Looking Closely At Whitehaven Coal Limited's (ASX:WHC) P/E Ratio

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Whitehaven Coal (ASX:WHC) shareholders are no doubt pleased to see that the share price has bounced 45% in the last month alone, although it is still down 20% over the last quarter. But that will do little to salve the savage burn caused by the 51% share price decline, over the last year.

Assuming no other changes, a sharply higher share price makes a stock less attractive to potential buyers. While the market sentiment towards a stock is very changeable, in the long run, the share price will tend to move in the same direction as earnings per share. The implication here is that deep value investors might steer clear when expectations of a company are too high. Perhaps the simplest way to get a read on investors' expectations of a business is to look at its Price to Earnings Ratio (PE Ratio). A high P/E implies that investors have high expectations of what a company can achieve compared to a company with a low P/E ratio.

View our latest analysis for Whitehaven Coal

How Does Whitehaven Coal's P/E Ratio Compare To Its Peers?

Whitehaven Coal has a P/E ratio of 8.11. You can see in the image below that the average P/E (8.3) for companies in the oil and gas industry is roughly the same as Whitehaven Coal's P/E.

ASX:WHC Price Estimation Relative to Market April 16th 2020
ASX:WHC Price Estimation Relative to Market April 16th 2020

That indicates that the market expects Whitehaven Coal will perform roughly in line with other companies in its industry. The company could surprise by performing better than average, in the future. I would further inform my view by checking insider buying and selling., among other things.

How Growth Rates Impact P/E Ratios

Earnings growth rates have a big influence on P/E ratios. Earnings growth means that in the future the 'E' will be higher. That means unless the share price increases, the P/E will reduce in a few years. So while a stock may look expensive based on past earnings, it could be cheap based on future earnings.

Whitehaven Coal's earnings per share fell by 56% in the last twelve months. But EPS is up 14% over the last 3 years.

Remember: P/E Ratios Don't Consider The Balance Sheet

It's important to note that the P/E ratio considers the market capitalization, not the enterprise value. In other words, it does not consider any debt or cash that the company may have on the balance sheet. Hypothetically, a company could reduce its future P/E ratio by spending its cash (or taking on debt) to achieve higher earnings.

Such spending might be good or bad, overall, but the key point here is that you need to look at debt to understand the P/E ratio in context.

Whitehaven Coal's Balance Sheet

Net debt totals 22% of Whitehaven Coal's market cap. That's enough debt to impact the P/E ratio a little; so keep it in mind if you're comparing it to companies without debt.

The Bottom Line On Whitehaven Coal's P/E Ratio

Whitehaven Coal trades on a P/E ratio of 8.1, which is below the AU market average of 14.4. The debt levels are not a major concern, but the lack of EPS growth is likely weighing on sentiment. What we know for sure is that investors are becoming less uncomfortable about Whitehaven Coal's prospects, since they have pushed its P/E ratio from 5.6 to 8.1 over the last month. If you like to buy stocks that could be turnaround opportunities, then this one might be a candidate; but if you're more sensitive to price, then you may feel the opportunity has passed.

Investors have an opportunity when market expectations about a stock are wrong. If it is underestimating a company, investors can make money by buying and holding the shares until the market corrects itself. So this free visualization of the analyst consensus on future earnings could help you make the right decision about whether to buy, sell, or hold.

You might be able to find a better buy than Whitehaven Coal. If you want a selection of possible winners, check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a P/E below 20 (but have proven they can grow earnings).

If you spot an error that warrants correction, please contact the editor at editorial-team@simplywallst.com. This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Simply Wall St has no position in the stocks mentioned.

We aim to bring you long-term focused research analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Thank you for reading.

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