A Rising Share Price Has Us Looking Closely At Praemium Limited's (ASX:PPS) P/E Ratio

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Those holding Praemium (ASX:PPS) shares must be pleased that the share price has rebounded 33% in the last thirty days. But unfortunately, the stock is still down by 46% over a quarter. But shareholders may not all be feeling jubilant, since the share price is still down 38% in the last year.

Assuming no other changes, a sharply higher share price makes a stock less attractive to potential buyers. In the long term, share prices tend to follow earnings per share, but in the short term prices bounce around in response to short term factors (which are not always obvious). So some would prefer to hold off buying when there is a lot of optimism towards a stock. Perhaps the simplest way to get a read on investors' expectations of a business is to look at its Price to Earnings Ratio (PE Ratio). A high P/E implies that investors have high expectations of what a company can achieve compared to a company with a low P/E ratio.

See our latest analysis for Praemium

Does Praemium Have A Relatively High Or Low P/E For Its Industry?

Praemium's P/E of 41.17 indicates some degree of optimism towards the stock. You can see in the image below that the average P/E (31.9) for companies in the software industry is lower than Praemium's P/E.

ASX:PPS Price Estimation Relative to Market April 25th 2020
ASX:PPS Price Estimation Relative to Market April 25th 2020

That means that the market expects Praemium will outperform other companies in its industry. Clearly the market expects growth, but it isn't guaranteed. So investors should always consider the P/E ratio alongside other factors, such as whether company directors have been buying shares.

How Growth Rates Impact P/E Ratios

Earnings growth rates have a big influence on P/E ratios. Earnings growth means that in the future the 'E' will be higher. And in that case, the P/E ratio itself will drop rather quickly. Then, a lower P/E should attract more buyers, pushing the share price up.

Praemium's 97% EPS improvement over the last year was like bamboo growth after rain; rapid and impressive.

Remember: P/E Ratios Don't Consider The Balance Sheet

One drawback of using a P/E ratio is that it considers market capitalization, but not the balance sheet. Thus, the metric does not reflect cash or debt held by the company. Hypothetically, a company could reduce its future P/E ratio by spending its cash (or taking on debt) to achieve higher earnings.

Such expenditure might be good or bad, in the long term, but the point here is that the balance sheet is not reflected by this ratio.

So What Does Praemium's Balance Sheet Tell Us?

Praemium has net cash of AU$15m. This is fairly high at 12% of its market capitalization. That might mean balance sheet strength is important to the business, but should also help push the P/E a bit higher than it would otherwise be.

The Bottom Line On Praemium's P/E Ratio

Praemium trades on a P/E ratio of 41.2, which is above its market average of 13.8. The excess cash it carries is the gravy on top its fast EPS growth. So based on this analysis we'd expect Praemium to have a high P/E ratio. What is very clear is that the market has become significantly more optimistic about Praemium over the last month, with the P/E ratio rising from 31.1 back then to 41.2 today. If you like to buy stocks that have recently impressed the market, then this one might be a candidate; but if you prefer to invest when there is 'blood in the streets', then you may feel the opportunity has passed.

Investors have an opportunity when market expectations about a stock are wrong. People often underestimate remarkable growth -- so investors can make money when fast growth is not fully appreciated. So this free visualization of the analyst consensus on future earnings could help you make the right decision about whether to buy, sell, or hold.

But note: Praemium may not be the best stock to buy. So take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a P/E ratio below 20).

If you spot an error that warrants correction, please contact the editor at editorial-team@simplywallst.com. This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Simply Wall St has no position in the stocks mentioned.

We aim to bring you long-term focused research analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Thank you for reading.

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