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Talking Points:

• NZD/USD Technical Strategy:Short at 0.7783

• Support: 0.7680, 0.7580, 0.7539

• Resistance:0.7821, 0.7897, 0.8076

The New Zealand Dollar fell as expected against its US counterpart after putting in a bearish Evening Star candlestick pattern. Near-term support is at 0.7680, the December 18 low, with a break below that on a daily closing basis exposing the 23.6% level at 0.7580. Alternatively, a break above channel top resistance at 0.7821 clears the way for a challenge of the 23.6% Fib retracement at 0.7897.

We sold NZDUSD at 0.7783, initially targeting 0.7680. A stop-loss will be activated on a daily close above the January 12 high at 0.7864. We will take profit on half of the position and move the stop-loss to breakeven once the first objective is reached.

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Daily Chart - Created Using FXCM Marketscope

--- Written by Ilya Spivak, Currency Strategist for DailyFX.com

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