Keppel Corporation Limited (SGX:BN4): Earnings To Drop Next Year

In this article:

Looking at Keppel Corporation Limited’s (SGX:BN4) recent earnings update on 31 December 2018, analyst consensus outlook appear pessimistic, with earnings expected to decline by -4.4% in the upcoming year. Though compared to its 5-year track record of the average earnings growth rate of -30%, this is still an improvement. Presently, with latest-twelve-month earnings at S$944m, we should see this fall to S$902m by 2020. Below is a brief commentary around Keppel’s earnings outlook going forward, which may give you a sense of market sentiment for the company. Investors wanting to learn more about other aspects of the company should research its fundamentals here.

Check out our latest analysis for Keppel

How will Keppel perform in the near future?

Longer term expectations from the 13 analysts covering BN4’s stock is one of positive sentiment. Broker analysts tend to forecast up to three years ahead due to a lack of clarity around the business trajectory beyond this. To understand the overall trajectory of BN4’s earnings growth over these next fews years, I’ve fitted a line through these analyst earnings forecast to determine an annual growth rate from the slope.

SGX:BN4 Past and Future Earnings, March 18th 2019
SGX:BN4 Past and Future Earnings, March 18th 2019

From the current net income level of S$944m and the final forecast of S$1.1b by 2022, the annual rate of growth for BN4’s earnings is 8.6%. This leads to an EPS of SGD0.63 in the final year of projections relative to the current EPS of SGD0.52. As revenues is expected to outpace earnings, analysts expect margins to contract from the current 16% to 14% by the end of 2022.

Next Steps:

Future outlook is only one aspect when you’re building an investment case for a stock. For Keppel, I’ve put together three fundamental aspects you should further research:

  1. Financial Health: Does it have a healthy balance sheet? Take a look at our free balance sheet analysis with six simple checks on key factors like leverage and risk.

  2. Future Earnings: How does Keppel’s growth rate compare to its peers and the wider market? Dig deeper into the analyst consensus number for the upcoming years by interacting with our free analyst growth expectation chart.

  3. Other High-Growth Alternatives : Are there other high-growth stocks you could be holding instead of Keppel? Explore our interactive list of stocks with large growth potential to get an idea of what else is out there you may be missing!

We aim to bring you long-term focused research analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.

If you spot an error that warrants correction, please contact the editor at editorial-team@simplywallst.com. This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Simply Wall St has no position in the stocks mentioned. Thank you for reading.

Advertisement