Introducing Aurangabad Distillery (NSE:AURDIS), The Stock That Dropped 23% In The Last Year

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The simplest way to benefit from a rising market is to buy an index fund. When you buy individual stocks, you can make higher profits, but you also face the risk of under-performance. That downside risk was realized by Aurangabad Distillery Limited (NSE:AURDIS) shareholders over the last year, as the share price declined 23%. That contrasts poorly with the market return of 0.3%. Aurangabad Distillery hasn't been listed for long, so although we're wary of recent listings that perform poorly, it may still prove itself with time.

See our latest analysis for Aurangabad Distillery

While the efficient markets hypothesis continues to be taught by some, it has been proven that markets are over-reactive dynamic systems, and investors are not always rational. One flawed but reasonable way to assess how sentiment around a company has changed is to compare the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price.

During the unfortunate twelve months during which the Aurangabad Distillery share price fell, it actually saw its earnings per share (EPS) improve by 116%. Of course, the situation might betray previous over-optimism about growth. It's fair to say that the share price does not seem to be reflecting the EPS growth. So it's easy to justify a look at some other metrics.

Aurangabad Distillery's revenue is actually up 11% over the last year. Since we can't easily explain the share price movement based on these metrics, it might be worth considering how market sentiment has changed towards the stock.

You can see how earnings and revenue have changed over time in the image below (click on the chart to see the exact values).

NSEI:AURDIS Income Statement, July 19th 2019
NSEI:AURDIS Income Statement, July 19th 2019

If you are thinking of buying or selling Aurangabad Distillery stock, you should check out this FREE detailed report on its balance sheet.

A Different Perspective

Given that the market gained 0.3% in the last year, Aurangabad Distillery shareholders might be miffed that they lost 23%. While the aim is to do better than that, it's worth recalling that even great long-term investments sometimes underperform for a year or more. With the stock down 5.3% over the last three months, the market doesn't seem to believe that the company has solved all its problems. Basically, most investors should be wary of buying into a poor-performing stock, unless the business itself has clearly improved. If you would like to research Aurangabad Distillery in more detail then you might want to take a look at whether insiders have been buying or selling shares in the company.

But note: Aurangabad Distillery may not be the best stock to buy. So take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with past earnings growth (and further growth forecast).

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on IN exchanges.

We aim to bring you long-term focused research analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.

If you spot an error that warrants correction, please contact the editor at editorial-team@simplywallst.com. This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Simply Wall St has no position in the stocks mentioned. Thank you for reading.

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