Does Mesa Royalty Trust’s (MTR) PE Ratio Warrant A Buy?

Mesa Royalty Trust (NYSE:MTR) is currently trading at a trailing P/E of 10.8x, which is lower than the industry average of 32.4x. Although some investors may jump to the conclusion that this is a great buying opportunity, understanding the assumptions behind the P/E ratio might change your mind. In this article, I will explain what the P/E ratio is as well as what you should look out for when using it. Check out our latest analysis for Mesa Royalty Trust

Breaking down the P/E ratio

NYSE:MTR PE PEG Gauge Sep 26th 17
NYSE:MTR PE PEG Gauge Sep 26th 17

The P/E ratio is one of many ratios used in relative valuation. It compares a stock’s price per share to the stock’s earnings per share. A more intuitive way of understanding the P/E ratio is to think of it as how much investors are paying for each dollar of the company’s earnings.

Formula

Price-Earnings Ratio = Price per share ÷ Earnings per share

P/E Calculation for MTR

Price per share = 14.25

Earnings per share = 1.317

∴ Price-Earnings Ratio = 14.25 ÷ 1.317 = 10.8x

On its own, the P/E ratio doesn’t tell you much; however, it becomes extremely useful when you compare it with other similar companies. Ultimately, our goal is to compare the stock’s P/E ratio to the average of companies that have similar attributes to MTR, such as company lifetime and products sold. A common peer group is companies that exist in the same industry, which is what I use below. Since similar companies should technically have similar P/E ratios, we can very quickly come to some conclusions about the stock if the ratios differ.

MTR’s P/E of 10.8x is lower than its industry peers (32.4x), which implies that each dollar of MTR’s earnings is being undervalued by investors. Therefore, according to this analysis, MTR is an under-priced stock.

A few caveats

However, before you rush out to buy MTR, it is important to note that this conclusion is based on two key assumptions. The first is that our “similar companies” are actually similar to MTR. If the companies aren’t similar, the difference in P/E might be a result of other factors. For example, if you are inadvertently comparing lower risk firms with MTR, then MTR’s P/E would naturally be lower than its peers, since investors would value those with lower risk with a higher price. The other possibility is if you were accidentally comparing higher growth firms with MTR. In this case, MTR’s P/E would be lower since investors would also reward its peers’ higher growth with a higher price. The second assumption that must hold true is that the stocks we are comparing MTR to are fairly valued by the market. If this assumption does not hold true, MTR’s lower P/E ratio may be because firms in our peer group are being overvalued by the market.

NYSE:MTR Future Profit Sep 26th 17
NYSE:MTR Future Profit Sep 26th 17

What this means for you:

Are you a shareholder? You may have already conducted fundamental analysis on the stock as a shareholder, so its current undervaluation could signal a good buying opportunity to increase your exposure to MTR. Now that you understand the ins and outs of the PE metric, you should know to bear in mind its limitations before you make an investment decision.

Are you a potential investor? If MTR has been on your watch list for a while, it is best you also consider its intrinsic valuation. Looking at PE on its own will not give you the full picture of the stock as an investment, so I suggest you should also look at other relative valuation metrics like EV/EBITDA or PEG.

PE is one aspect of your portfolio construction to consider when holding or entering into a stock. But it is certainly not the only factor. Take a look at our most recent infographic report on Mesa Royalty Trust for a more in-depth analysis of the stock to help you make a well-informed investment decision. Since we know a limitation of PE is it doesn't properly account for growth, you can use our free platform to see my list of stocks with a high growth potential and see if their PE is still reasonable.


To help readers see pass the short term volatility of the financial market, we aim to bring you a long-term focused research analysis purely driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis does not factor in the latest price sensitive company announcements.

The author is an independent contributor and at the time of publication had no position in the stocks mentioned.

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