How Does Anxian Yuan China Holdings's (HKG:922) P/E Compare To Its Industry, After The Share Price Drop?

In this article:

Unfortunately for some shareholders, the Anxian Yuan China Holdings (HKG:922) share price has dived 34% in the last thirty days. That drop has capped off a tough year for shareholders, with the share price down 51% in that time.

All else being equal, a share price drop should make a stock more attractive to potential investors. While the market sentiment towards a stock is very changeable, in the long run, the share price will tend to move in the same direction as earnings per share. So, on certain occasions, long term focussed investors try to take advantage of pessimistic expectations to buy shares at a better price. One way to gauge market expectations of a stock is to look at its Price to Earnings Ratio (PE Ratio). A high P/E ratio means that investors have a high expectation about future growth, while a low P/E ratio means they have low expectations about future growth.

Check out our latest analysis for Anxian Yuan China Holdings

How Does Anxian Yuan China Holdings's P/E Ratio Compare To Its Peers?

We can tell from its P/E ratio of 8.71 that sentiment around Anxian Yuan China Holdings isn't particularly high. If you look at the image below, you can see Anxian Yuan China Holdings has a lower P/E than the average (14.7) in the consumer services industry classification.

SEHK:922 Price Estimation Relative to Market, December 17th 2019
SEHK:922 Price Estimation Relative to Market, December 17th 2019

This suggests that market participants think Anxian Yuan China Holdings will underperform other companies in its industry. Many investors like to buy stocks when the market is pessimistic about their prospects. If you consider the stock interesting, further research is recommended. For example, I often monitor director buying and selling.

How Growth Rates Impact P/E Ratios

Companies that shrink earnings per share quickly will rapidly decrease the 'E' in the equation. Therefore, even if you pay a low multiple of earnings now, that multiple will become higher in the future. Then, a higher P/E might scare off shareholders, pushing the share price down.

Anxian Yuan China Holdings saw earnings per share decrease by 28% last year. But over the longer term (5 years) earnings per share have increased by 8.2%. And over the longer term (3 years) earnings per share have decreased 10.0% annually. This growth rate might warrant a low P/E ratio.

Don't Forget: The P/E Does Not Account For Debt or Bank Deposits

One drawback of using a P/E ratio is that it considers market capitalization, but not the balance sheet. That means it doesn't take debt or cash into account. Hypothetically, a company could reduce its future P/E ratio by spending its cash (or taking on debt) to achieve higher earnings.

While growth expenditure doesn't always pay off, the point is that it is a good option to have; but one that the P/E ratio ignores.

Is Debt Impacting Anxian Yuan China Holdings's P/E?

Anxian Yuan China Holdings has net debt worth a very significant 114% of its market capitalization. This level of debt justifies a relatively low P/E, so remain cognizant of the debt, if you're comparing it to other stocks.

The Verdict On Anxian Yuan China Holdings's P/E Ratio

Anxian Yuan China Holdings's P/E is 8.7 which is below average (10.3) in the HK market. When you consider that the company has significant debt, and didn't grow EPS last year, it isn't surprising that the market has muted expectations. What can be absolutely certain is that the market has become more pessimistic about Anxian Yuan China Holdings over the last month, with the P/E ratio falling from 13.2 back then to 8.7 today. For those who prefer to invest with the flow of momentum, that might be a bad sign, but for deep value investors this stock might justify some research.

When the market is wrong about a stock, it gives savvy investors an opportunity. If the reality for a company is not as bad as the P/E ratio indicates, then the share price should increase as the market realizes this. We don't have analyst forecasts, but you could get a better understanding of its growth by checking out this more detailed historical graph of earnings, revenue and cash flow.

But note: Anxian Yuan China Holdings may not be the best stock to buy. So take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a P/E ratio below 20).

If you spot an error that warrants correction, please contact the editor at editorial-team@simplywallst.com. This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Simply Wall St has no position in the stocks mentioned.

We aim to bring you long-term focused research analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Thank you for reading.

Advertisement