Is Billion Industrial Holdings's (HKG:2299) 232% Share Price Increase Well Justified?

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The worst result, after buying shares in a company (assuming no leverage), would be if you lose all the money you put in. But when you pick a company that is really flourishing, you can make more than 100%. Long term Billion Industrial Holdings Limited (HKG:2299) shareholders would be well aware of this, since the stock is up 232% in five years. On top of that, the share price is up 20% in about a quarter. But this could be related to the strong market, which is up 12% in the last three months.

Check out our latest analysis for Billion Industrial Holdings

There is no denying that markets are sometimes efficient, but prices do not always reflect underlying business performance. One imperfect but simple way to consider how the market perception of a company has shifted is to compare the change in the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price movement.

During five years of share price growth, Billion Industrial Holdings achieved compound earnings per share (EPS) growth of 18% per year. This EPS growth is slower than the share price growth of 27% per year, over the same period. So it's fair to assume the market has a higher opinion of the business than it did five years ago. That's not necessarily surprising considering the five-year track record of earnings growth.

The company's earnings per share (over time) is depicted in the image below (click to see the exact numbers).

SEHK:2299 Past and Future Earnings, April 17th 2019
SEHK:2299 Past and Future Earnings, April 17th 2019

It's probably worth noting that the CEO is paid less than the median at similar sized companies. It's always worth keeping an eye on CEO pay, but a more important question is whether the company will grow earnings throughout the years. Before buying or selling a stock, we always recommend a close examination of historic growth trends, available here..

What About Dividends?

It is important to consider the total shareholder return, as well as the share price return, for any given stock. Whereas the share price return only reflects the change in the share price, the TSR includes the value of dividends (assuming they were reinvested) and the benefit of any discounted capital raising or spin-off. Arguably, the TSR gives a more comprehensive picture of the return generated by a stock. We note that for Billion Industrial Holdings the TSR over the last 5 years was 262%, which is better than the share price return mentioned above. This is largely a result of its dividend payments!

A Different Perspective

It's good to see that Billion Industrial Holdings has rewarded shareholders with a total shareholder return of 22% in the last twelve months. That's including the dividend. Having said that, the five-year TSR of 29% a year, is even better. Before deciding if you like the current share price, check how Billion Industrial Holdings scores on these 3 valuation metrics.

But note: Billion Industrial Holdings may not be the best stock to buy. So take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with past earnings growth (and further growth forecast).

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on HK exchanges.

We aim to bring you long-term focused research analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.

If you spot an error that warrants correction, please contact the editor at editorial-team@simplywallst.com. This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Simply Wall St has no position in the stocks mentioned. Thank you for reading.

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