Why a U.S credit rating downgrade is likely as shutdown fears linger

The House of Representatives is in chaos as Republicans scramble to install a new Speaker of the House, after the historic ousting of Rep. Kevin McCarthy (R-Ca.). Without a Speaker, the House can't officially move forward on any spending bills, leaving little time to put a deal together before the November 17 deadline. Moody's has warned that another government shutdown could put further pressure on the United States' credit rating.

Yahoo Finance Senior Columnist Rick Newman joins the Live show to break down what is going on in the halls of Congress, the potential for another government shutdown, and what a downgrade would mean for the economy.

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Video Transcript

BRAD SMITH: Lawmakers have until mid November to reach a deal to keep the government open. And without a Speaker at the helm, the House can't move forward on any spending bills. Rating agency, Moody's, previously warned that a government shutdown could put pressure on the US's credit. Yahoo Finance's Rick Newman joins us now with why a credit downgrade is still worth keeping on your radar. Hey, Rick.

RICK NEWMAN: Hey, guys. Well, first of all, it seems possibly more likely than before that we are going to have a government shutdown in November. The political analysts I've been following on this say it's very hard to see how Congress is going to get.

All the Bills finished that need to fund the government-- remember, the House at the moment is basically not functioning-- and even if it does get a Speaker, all the dynamics that we saw leading up to the chaos of the last week are likely to remain in place.

And Moody's has already warned that if there is a government shutdown, it could be the third rating agency to lower the US credit rating from the triple A level, the best there is that the United States has enjoyed for most of its history until recent times. And all of the-- so Standard and Poor's has downgraded United States that one all the way back to 2011. Fitch downgraded the United States earlier this year.

And the problem is not the creditworthiness of the US government. All of these rating agencies keep pointing out the problem is political. It's that lawmakers and policymakers simply cannot run the country in a coherent fashion in this almost always lands on Republicans.

It is Republicans who are the ones who are threatening not to pay $33 trillion in US debt it's Republicans who are always doing the shutdown theatrics. And this is starting to matter. I mean, this rise in interest rates and bond rates that we've been talking about during the last several weeks are related to the size of the US debt and to-- probably related to the situation with the credit rating of the United States.