Nvidia earnings are almost here. What investors will look for

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All eyes are on Nvidia (NVDA) as Wall Street eagerly awaits the tech giant's second quarter results, due out after the market close on Wednesday, August 28. Investors are anticipating substantial year-over-year growth, with earnings expected to increase by 109% and revenue projected to grow by 99% year-over-year. Given these high expectations, analysts are questioning whether the semiconductor giant can meet them.

Catalysts anchors Brad Smith and Madison Mills preview the earnings expectations for the semiconductor giant, discussing the potential impact on the stock and broader market.

For more expert insight and the latest market action, click here to watch this full episode of Catalysts.

This post was written by Angel Smith

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00:00 Speaker A

Now, Nvidia earnings the event to watch this week for investors coming up Wednesday after the bell. Analysts do have lofty expectations for the chip giant, expecting earnings growth of over a hundred percent year-over-year, and revenue growth, much more modest, about 99% year-on-year. Nvidia heading into its results with 66 buy ratings on the street and shares up over 150% this year. Here's what we've heard from experts on the show over the last few weeks.

00:42 Speaker B

I think we're at a bare market in Nvidia and I would not be a buyer.

00:46 Speaker C

All eyes will once again be on Nvidia is kind of the bellwether of this Magnificent 7 in this AI trade. Any weakness, any softness, you know, maybe the entire Mag 7 rotation out may uh may pick up a little bit of steam.

00:59 Speaker D

being one of the best positioned semiconductor company, um, you know, obviously levered to one of the strongest product cycles in AI right now. We we think it's still attractively valued at these levels.

01:15 Speaker A

And Brad, I think it's really interesting when you talk about the run-up Nvidia has had over the course of this year and the earnings expectations that continue to be so lofty, as I mentioned that 99% growth year over year when it comes to the revenue side of things. Will a beat be enough for the street to carry this name to the upside? Some of our guests have said yes, others have said the bar is just too high, and we're already seeing earnings expectations kind of queling a little bit as we head into Q3. So next quarter could be a lower bar, but we still got to get through tomorrow.

01:48 Brad

Yeah, I'm just looking at the move, the expected move, uh, based on some options AI data here, and we're looking like an implied move potentially coming out of earnings of about 9 to 10%. Now, that is kind of absolute value, so you could see this uh potentially based on options contracts out there rise post earnings if they are able to deliver this Goldilocks report. Oh yeah, and signal that there's even more demand that's going to be coming in video's way as it looks to further entrench its market share, even where you've got some of the competitors that are and got out in front of Nvidia saying exactly how they were going to tap into the generative AI demand and be able to bring some of that on over to their side of the ship. All these things considered, it's about a 9 to 10% move that we could potentially see post earnings, and it's still going to come back to exactly what Jensen Wong says on this earning call. If he says that not only is demand strong, but China is not an issue, and also they have pricing power, then we could see this rip to even more than that 10% uh based on what we're seeing in the options market right now.

03:02 Speaker A

Yeah, I think it's a really great point, Brad, to bring up the degree of movement that the market is anticipating here. And as you mentioned, the percentage-based move, that could be up to $300 billion, which is more than the size of a McDonald's or a Cisco, just in the course of one trading day after these earnings according to the options market. So really big day for Nvidia.