In This Article:
Nvidia's (NVDA) stock is up ahead of its earnings report after trading day close on Wednesday, with expectations of an 8.5% move in either direction post-report.
Yahoo Finance Technology Editor Dan Howley joins Morning Brief hosts Brad Smith and Seana Smith to discuss the implications of the earnings report as well as Wall Street's expectations: adjusted earnings per share (EPS) of $0.84 and revenue of $38.2 billion.
Guidance, cloud revenue, and potential impacts of tariffs and export controls are three other areas that will also be closely watched.
To watch more expert insights and analysis on the latest market action, check out more Morning Brief here.
This post was written by Josh Lynch
NVIDIA shares right now up pre-market ahead of its results after the close today. The stock is expected to move 8 and a half percent in either direction following the results according to Options AI data. Now here with the street and their expectations from the earnings report. We've got Tech Editor Dan Howley here. Dan, what do we know?
Yeah, Brad, you know, this is going to be obviously a massive report for Nvidia. Uh this is something that uh I think the entire tech industry is trying to just prepare for whether or not they they beat, whether or not they they uh beaten raise. Um you know, guidance has been very important for Nvidia stock over the last couple of quarters. I think you know, let's just look at what the the numbers expectations are real quick. Uh we're looking at adjusted EPS of 84 cents. Uh that would be a 63% increase year over year uh on EPS and revenue of 38.2 billion. That would be up 73% uh year over year. I want to point out real quickly when you've looked at how the stock has performed just immediately after words, it's tend to drifted downwards just on I I think how people are responding to the year-over-year growth numbers because we're coming off massive year-over-year growth. So the the the comp is not necessarily in Nvidia's favor. And so if we look at the last year uh Q4 last year, their EPS was up 486% and their revenue was up 256%. So it makes that 63 and 73% look pretty poultry in comparison, though I'm sure any other company would kill for that. Uh but what we're really going to be looking at uh is any kind of commentary we can get around guidance. As I said, that's been a big uh kind of indicator for Nvidia uh as well as push in the direction of the stock. That could also start to move uh the likes of Microsoft, Google, uh as well as other chip makers, uh AMD. Uh the other that we want to talk about is cloud segment and the CFO commentary from Colette Kress. She mentions how much of their revenue, their data center revenue is coming from cloud companies. So those are the Microsofts, the Amazons, the Googles, the Metas, uh what have you. Last quarter that was 50%. Uh there's been talk murmurs of Microsoft maybe moving some of its spending around, although they've all said that they're going to push spending well into the the tens of billions and in Amazon's case hundred billion dollar uh this year for AI. So we shouldn't see too much difference there. Uh although you have to wonder, these companies are trying to develop their own chips. They're leaning on other companies. They want to ensure that they're not beholden to Nvidia. So is that kind of matures over time, what does that then mean for Amazon's, excuse me, uh Nvidia's cloud growth uh as far as the revenue from those providers. Uh and then on uh tariffs and export controls. This has been something that's been you know, just at the back of everyone's minds. I think the tariffs, obviously, Trump has discussed 25% tariff on chips. And then the export controls, there's been talk about pushing harder export controls on those H200 chips that DeepC used to prepare its own AI models. And that kind of sent the entire AI trade into an uproar when that was announced. So those those are really the the main things I think we're we're looking at uh just, you know, overall. And I I think, you know, when it comes to uh this company in and of itself, it obviously is the bellwether for the AI trade. And it's going to potentially move around the other big tech giants as well just because they're so embedded in AI at this point.
Yeah, we certainly have seen that in the options pricing, at least just in terms of the direct moves that we could see right after how we great stuff. You've got a busy day ahead of you.
Oh yeah.
I'm going to let you go prepare even more, right, Howley? Thanks.