Microsoft in winning scenario while courting fmr. OpenAI CEO

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Microsoft (MSFT) stock reaches an all-time high on headlines that Former OpenAI CEO Sam Altman will be joining the tech giant after being ousted by OpenAI's board last Friday.

Macquerie Lead Software Equity Research Analyst Fred Havemeyer attributes this unfolding coup to Microsoft CEO Satya Nadella as the tech company already owns 49% of OpenAI and recruiting the artificial intelligence firm's leadership would push Microsoft one step further into owning its AI model.

"We think there's still tremendous value here, whether or not OpenAI remains an independent, commercialized, and really border-pushing tech company, or whether this ultimately is internalized within Microsoft as its own AI venture," Havemeyer explains to Yahoo Finance. "We continue to think that they win."

Click here to watch the full interview on the Yahoo Finance YouTube page or you can watch this full episode of Yahoo Finance Live here.

This post was written by Luke Carberry Mogan.

Video Transcript

- Fred just heard us talking about this.

Like, we don't even know if one moment to the next if indeed Altman is going to let-- end up at Microsoft.

As somebody who's trying to analyze this company and its future profits, just give us, first of all, a little color on how you're following all this and analyzing it in real time.

FRED HAVEMAYER: Well, following an analyzing in real time is actually very accurate, because I think I was publishing at around 4 AM last night when the news was coming out that Microsoft was hiring Sam Altman as CEO of a new AI venture as Satya Nadella published on X and/or Twitter.

So the way that I'm thinking about it is that, right now, I think Satya has essentially pulled off a coup that I have not seen the likes of before in the tech market.

He's pulled in and brought in Sam Altman CEO of, as we've all been talking about here, CEO of OpenAI, and one of the clear visionaries in the entire generative AI landscape right now.

And also, of course, someone who has been leading the commercialization push within OpenAI.

And following that we've heard the news that, now the majority of engineers at OpenAI are considering leaving the company and potentially moving over to Microsoft, which appears to be ready to welcome them with open arms.

So I think in the range of outcomes here, we see either an opportunity where Microsoft ends up consolidating and essentially acquiring OpenAI without actually having to tender any sort of acquisition under the present scenario, where Sam Altman is running as CEO this own AI venture within Microsoft.

And a second scenario, even if we go a route where Sam Altman returns to OpenAI, I think Microsoft would continue to benefit.