Zoom’s (NASDAQ:ZM) Track Record and Inside Ownership are Reasons for Optimism

Richard Bowman

Wed, Nov 24, 2021, 4:14 AM 3 min read

Shares of Zoom Video Communications, Inc. ( NASDAQ:ZM ) have come under another wave of selling pressure after the company reported third quarter financial results. The results were better than expected, but the guidance pointed to a continuing slowdown. The growth outlook now looks less certain as the company struggles to build on the very high base it set for itself in 2020. But there are also good reasons for optimism about the future.

Third quarter financial highlights:

Revenue up 35% YoY to $1.05bln, $30 mln better than expected.
Non-GAAP EPS: $1.11 and $0.01 better than expected.
Free cash flow down 3.6% to $374.8 mln.
4th quarter guidance: Revenue expected to be up ~19% YoY to $1.051 to $1.053 bln

The key number here is the 4th quarter guidance for revenue growth. Prior to the Covid-19 pandemic, Zoom’s sales were growing at 80%+, and this rate increased to 368% in the fourth quarter last year. The last two quarters have seen a sharp slowdown from 53% to 35%, with 19% expected in the current quarter.

Zoom’s share price is still trading at 54x earning per share and around 16x sales per share. These multiples are still quite steep if 19% is the new normal for annual sales growth, which means volatility may continue until the outlook is clearer.

Check out our latest analysis for Zoom Video Communications

Zoom’s transition to a platform company

Despite the uncertainty, there are reasons for optimism about the company’s future. While Zoom is primarily known as a video conferencing tool, the company is in the process of transitioning into a platform company. Zoom is doing this by adding new tools and acting as a platform for apps. Some of these initiatives include:

Zoom Phone - A cloud phone solution with 2 million users
Zoom Events - a platform for online events.
Zoom Video Engagement Center - a soon to be launched platform for contact centers.
Zoom Apps - there are already 67 apps and the company created a $100 million fund to support app developers.
Tools for industry verticals like education, healthcare and finance.

A strong track record and serious skin in the game

It’s easy to dismiss Zoom’s success as a byproduct of the Covid-19 pandemic. But Zoom was already very successful prior to 2020. Zoom was already profitable when the company held its IPO in 2019 which is unusual for a SaaS (software as a service) company. By the end of 2019, quarterly revenue was already $188 million and growing at 80 to 100%.

Zoom wasn’t the first video conferencing solution around, but quickly managed to become a market leader by innovating. If the company can repeat this performance as a multi-tool platform, there is no reason that growth won’t accelerate once again.