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Anyone researching Zhong Ao Home Group Limited (HKG:1538) might want to consider the historical volatility of the share price. Modern finance theory considers volatility to be a measure of risk, and there are two main types of price volatility. The first type is company specific volatility. Investors use diversification across uncorrelated stocks to reduce this kind of price volatility across the portfolio. The second sort is caused by the natural volatility of markets, overall. For example, certain macroeconomic events will impact (virtually) all stocks on the market.
Some stocks mimic the volatility of the market quite closely, while others demonstrate muted, exagerrated or uncorrelated price movements. Beta can be a useful tool to understand how much a stock is influenced by market risk (volatility). However, Warren Buffett said ‘volatility is far from synonymous with risk’ in his 2014 letter to investors. So, while useful, beta is not the only metric to consider. To use beta as an investor, you must first understand that the overall market has a beta of one. A stock with a beta greater than one is more sensitive to broader market movements than a stock with a beta of less than one.
View our latest analysis for Zhong Ao Home Group
What we can learn from 1538’s beta value
Given that it has a beta of 1.14, we can surmise that the Zhong Ao Home Group share price has been fairly sensitive to market volatility (over the last 5 years). If the past is any guide, we would expect that Zhong Ao Home Group shares will rise quicker than the markets in times of optimism, but fall faster in times of pessimism. Many would argue that beta is useful in position sizing, but fundamental metrics such as revenue and earnings are more important overall. You can see Zhong Ao Home Group’s revenue and earnings in the image below.
Does 1538’s size influence the expected beta?
Zhong Ao Home Group is a rather small company. It has a market capitalisation of HK$762.4m, which means it is probably under the radar of most investors. Relatively few investors can influence the price of a smaller company, compared to a large company. This could explain the high beta value, in this case.
What this means for you:
Beta only tells us that the Zhong Ao Home Group share price is sensitive to broader market movements. This could indicate that it is a high growth company, or is heavily influenced by sentiment because it is speculative. Alternatively, it could have operating leverage in its business model. Ultimately, beta is an interesting metric, but there’s plenty more to learn. In order to fully understand whether 1538 is a good investment for you, we also need to consider important company-specific fundamentals such as Zhong Ao Home Group’s financial health and performance track record. I highly recommend you dive deeper by considering the following: