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This article is intended for those of you who are at the beginning of your investing journey and want to start learning about core concepts of fundamental analysis on practical examples from today’s market.
Zhengzhou Coal Mining Machinery Group Company Limited (HKG:564) generated a below-average return on equity of 3.8% in the past 12 months, while its industry returned 8.7%. Though 564’s recent performance is underwhelming, it is useful to understand what ROE is made up of and how it should be interpreted. Knowing these components can change your views on 564’s below-average returns. Today I will look at how components such as financial leverage can influence ROE which may impact the sustainability of 564’s returns.
Check out our latest analysis for Zhengzhou Coal Mining Machinery Group
Peeling the layers of ROE – trisecting a company’s profitability
Return on Equity (ROE) weighs Zhengzhou Coal Mining Machinery Group’s profit against the level of its shareholders’ equity. An ROE of 3.8% implies HK$0.038 returned on every HK$1 invested. While a higher ROE is preferred in most cases, there are several other factors we should consider before drawing any conclusions.
Return on Equity = Net Profit ÷ Shareholders Equity
ROE is assessed against cost of equity, which is measured using the Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM) – but let’s not dive into the details of that today. For now, let’s just look at the cost of equity number for Zhengzhou Coal Mining Machinery Group, which is 12.3%. Since Zhengzhou Coal Mining Machinery Group’s return does not cover its cost, with a difference of -8.5%, this means its current use of equity is not efficient and not sustainable. Very simply, Zhengzhou Coal Mining Machinery Group pays more for its capital than what it generates in return. ROE can be split up into three useful ratios: net profit margin, asset turnover, and financial leverage. This is called the Dupont Formula:
Dupont Formula
ROE = profit margin × asset turnover × financial leverage
ROE = (annual net profit ÷ sales) × (sales ÷ assets) × (assets ÷ shareholders’ equity)
ROE = annual net profit ÷ shareholders’ equity
Essentially, profit margin shows how much money the company makes after paying for all its expenses. The other component, asset turnover, illustrates how much revenue Zhengzhou Coal Mining Machinery Group can make from its asset base. The most interesting ratio, and reflective of sustainability of its ROE, is financial leverage. Since financial leverage can artificially inflate ROE, we need to look at how much debt Zhengzhou Coal Mining Machinery Group currently has. Currently the debt-to-equity ratio stands at a low 27.1%, which means Zhengzhou Coal Mining Machinery Group still has headroom to take on more leverage in order to increase profits.