Chicago, IL – March 12, 2025 – Today, Zacks Equity Research discusses American Water Works Co. AWK, American States Water Co. AWR and Middlesex Water Co. MSEX.
Link: https://www.zacks.com/commentary/2428351/3-utility-water-supply-stocks-to-watch-amid-industry-concerns
Water utilities work day in and day out to ensure an uninterrupted supply of clean, potable water and reliable sewer services to millions of customers in the United States. These are essential for healthy and hygienic living. Historically, water demand remains low during winter months as colder temperatures reduce outdoor activities. Water demand remains moderate in the spring season due to milder temperatures.
The aging of pipelines is concerning, but water utilities continue with their upgrade and maintenance projects to minimize disruptions in operations. American Water Works Co., with its widespread operations, provides services to domestic customers and military bases and offers an excellent opportunity to stay invested in the water utility space. Other water utilities worth adding to your portfolio are American States Water Co. and Middlesex Water Co.
The Zacks Utility - Water Supply industry includes companies that provide drinking water and wastewater services to industrial, commercial and residential customers and military bases. Water utility operators own nearly 2.2 million miles of pipelines that are getting old. Utilities replace old pipelines and add new ones to expand operations.
Utility operators own storage tanks, treatment plants and desalination plants to provide water to customers. The fragmented industry and low investment create operational challenges, but increasing efficient water usage by individuals and other industries helps ensure that water is not wasted. Capital-intensive utility operators will benefit from the interest rate cuts and continue their capital expenditures at reduced capital servicing expenses.
Interest Rate Decline is a Tailwind: To maintain, upgrade and expand operations, utilities approach capital markets for loans. Multiple rate hikes by the Federal Reserve took the benchmark rate to the 5.25-5.50% range, adversely impacting utility operators. The U.S. Federal Reserve has lowered the benchmark rate by three times for a total of 100 basis points, bringing down rates to a range of 4.25%-4.50%. Capital-intensive domestic-focused utilities will benefit from the Fed's decision to reduce interest rates. The drop in interest rates is a big positive for utility operators planning large investments in infrastructure upgrades.
Aging Infrastructure Needs Huge Investments: The water and wastewater infrastructure is aging and gradually nearing the end of its effective service life. Per the findings of the American Society of Civil Engineers ("ASCE"), water main breaks occur every two minutes in the United States due to the aging of the existing water infrastructure. It is evident that this industry needs more investments for maintenance and upgrade.
Per the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency ("EPA"), an estimated $1.25 trillion investment is necessary to maintain and expand the drinking water and wastewater service to meet demand over the next 20 years. The massive investment requirement also creates an opportunity for growth among operators in this space.
The Bipartisan Infrastructure Law provided $50 billion to EPA to strengthen the drinking water and wastewater systems of the United States. A major portion of the investment will be directed toward upgrading water infrastructure serving disadvantaged communities. ASCE gives a C- rating to the U.S. drinking water infrastructure and a D+ to the U.S. wastewater infrastructure.
Fragmented Water Industry Needs Consolidation: Since the U.S. water utility industry is highly fragmented, upgrading aging assets to provide quality services is the need of the hour. Per the ASCE, at present, 50,000 community water systems and 14,000 wastewater treatment systems in the United States are providing water solutions to customers.
Per the ASCE finding, due to the delay in pipeline repairs and maintenance, billions of gallons of treated water are lost every year in the United States. The wastage of water will continue to increase the operating expenses of the water utilities. The fragmented industry creates operational challenges as small water utilities have limited financial capabilities to meet the requirement for replacement and maintenance of the aging water and wastewater infrastructure.
Large water utility companies continue to acquire small players to ensure the extension of high-quality services to customers and the investment required to upgrade old and acquired assets. Since mergers and acquisitions are taking place at a very slow pace, more consolidation is essential to reap the benefits.
The Zacks Utility Water Supply industry is a 12-stock group within the broader Zacks Utilities sector. The industry currently carries a Zacks Industry Rank #171, which places it in the bottom 31% of 247 Zacks industries.
The group's Zacks Industry Rank, which is the average of the Zacks Rank of all the member stocks, indicates bearish prospects for the near term. Our research shows that the top 50% of the Zacks-ranked industries outperform the bottom 50% by a factor of more than two to one. Since July 2024, earnings estimates for the industry have gone down by 44.9%.
The industry's positioning in the bottom 50% of the Zacks-ranked industries is a result of a negative earnings outlook for the constituent companies in aggregate. Looking at the aggregate earnings estimate revisions, it appears that analysts are pessimistic about this group's earnings growth.
Before we present a few stocks that you may want to consider for your portfolio, let's take a look at the industry's recent stock market performance and valuation.
The Zacks Utility Water Supply industry has outperformed the Zacks S&P 500 composite and its sector in the past 12 months. The industry has gained 14.4% compared with the Utility sector's rally of 13.7%. The Zacks S&P 500 composite has advanced 10.6% in the same time frame.
On the basis of the trailing 12-month enterprise value to EBITDA (EV/EBITDA), which is a commonly used multiple for valuing water utility stocks, the industry is currently trading at 11.86X compared with the S&P 500's 16.59X and the sector's trailing 12-month EV/EBITDA of 16.64X.
Over the past five years, the water supply industry has traded as high as 24.74X and as low as 9.10X, with the median being 16.42X.
Below, we have discussed three stocks from the Zacks Utility - Water Supply industry. Two of these stocks have a Zacks Rank #2 (Buy) each, and the other has a Zacks Rank #3 (Hold). You can see the complete list of today's Zacks #1 Rank (Strong Buy) stocks here.
American Water Works Company: Camden, NJ-based American Water, along with its subsidiaries, provides water and wastewater services to millions of Americans. The company continues to expand operations through acquisitions and organic means. AWK plans to invest $3.3 billion in 2025 to strengthen and expand its existing infrastructure. It aims to invest in the range of $17-$18 billion during the 2025-2029 period and $40-$42 billion in the 2025-2034 period.
Over the past 90 days, the Zacks Consensus Estimate for 2025 and 2026 earnings has moved up by nearly 0.4% and 0.3%, respectively. The long-term (three to five years) earnings growth of AWK is currently pegged at 8.3%. The current dividend yield of the company is 2.1%. The company currently has a Zacks Rank #2.
Middlesex Water Co.: Iselin, NJ-based Middlesex Water, along with its subsidiaries, provides water and wastewater services to its customers. The company has plans to invest $387 million during the 2025-2027 period to strengthen its water and wastewater infrastructure.
Over the past 90 days, the Zacks Consensus Estimate for 2025 and 2026 earnings has moved up by nearly 4.6% and 3.2%, respectively. The long-term earnings growth of the company is currently pegged at 13.96%. The current dividend yield of MSEX is 2.12%. Middlesex Water currently has a Zacks Rank #2.
American States Water Company: San Dimas, CA-based American States Water, along with its subsidiaries, provides water, wastewater and electric services to its customers. AWR provides long-term water and wastewater services to military bases and continues to pursue new long-term contracts from more military bases. It aims to invest $531.7 million during 2025-2027.
Over the past 90 days, the Zacks Consensus Estimate for 2025 and 2026 earnings has moved up by nearly 1.2% and 0.9%, respectively. The company's long-term earnings growth rate is 1.75%. The current dividend yield is 2.34%. It currently has a Zacks Rank #3.
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American Water Works Company, Inc. (AWK) : Free Stock Analysis Report
American States Water Company (AWR) : Free Stock Analysis Report
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