Yen set for best January in seven years as rates path diverge
Illustration photo of a Japan Yen note · Reuters

By Rae Wee

SINGAPORE (Reuters) - The yen was on track for its best monthly start to the year since 2018 on Friday, helped by the view that the Bank of Japan (BOJ) is likely to keep raising rates this year while its global peers elsewhere look to ease policy.

The Mexican peso and Canadian dollar were on guard ahead of a looming Feb. 1 deadline which U.S. President Donald Trump has said would be the date he imposes 25% tariffs on imports from the two countries.

The loonie languished near a five-year low at C$1.4490 and was set for a weekly decline of 1%.

Mexico's peso was recovering from its steep fall from the previous session and last stood at 20.6849 per dollar, though it remained on track for its worst weekly performance since October with a roughly 2% fall.

"If (Trump) wants to talk tough, he's got to act tough as well, and that starts with actually announcing something concrete tomorrow," said Tony Sycamore, a market analyst at IG.

"It's something which I think is coming and more than likely we'll get some more colour on that tomorrow ... It's not good to keep the uncertainty overhanging markets."

In Japan, the yen was last a touch stronger at 154.19 per dollar, having already climbed more than 1% for the week thus far. It was set to gain 1.9% for the month, which would mark its best January performance in seven years.

The yen has drawn support from expectations of further rate hikes from the BOJ this year, with Deputy Governor Ryozo Himino also saying on Thursday that the central bank will continue to raise interest rates if the economy and prices move in line with the bank's forecasts.

"On the back of remarks from Deputy BOJ Governor Himino ... (yen) bulls appear to be more confident about the resolve of policymakers to hike rates in 2025," said Jane Foley, senior FX strategist at Rabobank, who sees dollar/yen trading at 145 by the year-end.

Data on Friday showed core inflation in Tokyo hit 2.5% to mark the fastest annual pace in nearly a year, reinforcing expectations of further rate hikes.

MORE EASING AHEAD

In the broader market, the dollar rose 0.1% to 108.18 against a basket of currencies but was on track for a slight monthly loss of 0.3%.

Data on Thursday showed U.S. economic growth slowed in the fourth quarter, though consumer spending increased at its fastest pace in nearly two years.

"Thursday's GDP report confirmed that the economy, particularly the consumer, remains strong, and that there is no near-term risk of a recession. This gives the Federal Reserve the ability to be patient on rate cuts," said Carol Schleif, chief market strategist at BMO Private Wealth.