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Xero Limited (ASX:XRO) saw a double-digit share price rise of over 10% in the past couple of months on the ASX. The company is inching closer to its yearly highs following the recent share price climb. As a large-cap stock with high coverage by analysts, you could assume any recent changes in the company’s outlook is already priced into the stock. However, what if the stock is still a bargain? Today we will analyse the most recent data on Xero’s outlook and valuation to see if the opportunity still exists.
View our latest analysis for Xero
What's The Opportunity In Xero?
According to our valuation model, Xero seems to be fairly priced at around 14.12% above our intrinsic value, which means if you buy Xero today, you’d be paying a relatively reasonable price for it. And if you believe the company’s true value is A$148.02, then there isn’t really any room for the share price grow beyond what it’s currently trading. Furthermore, Xero’s low beta implies that the stock is less volatile than the wider market.
Can we expect growth from Xero?
Future outlook is an important aspect when you’re looking at buying a stock, especially if you are an investor looking for growth in your portfolio. Although value investors would argue that it’s the intrinsic value relative to the price that matter the most, a more compelling investment thesis would be high growth potential at a cheap price. With profit expected to more than double over the next couple of years, the future seems bright for Xero. It looks like higher cash flow is on the cards for the stock, which should feed into a higher share valuation.
What This Means For You
Are you a shareholder? It seems like the market has already priced in XRO’s positive outlook, with shares trading around its fair value. However, there are also other important factors which we haven’t considered today, such as the track record of its management team. Have these factors changed since the last time you looked at the stock? Will you have enough conviction to buy should the price fluctuates below the true value?
Are you a potential investor? If you’ve been keeping an eye on XRO, now may not be the most advantageous time to buy, given it is trading around its fair value. However, the optimistic prospect is encouraging for the company, which means it’s worth diving deeper into other factors such as the strength of its balance sheet, in order to take advantage of the next price drop.
Diving deeper into the forecasts for Xero mentioned earlier will help you understand how analysts view the stock going forward. Luckily, you can check out what analysts are forecasting by clicking here.