Worried About a Stock Market Sell-Off in 2025? Consider Buying This Ultra-Safe Vanguard ETF in December.

Daniel Foelber, The Motley Fool

Mon, Dec 23, 2024, 7:00 AM 4 min read

Volatility spiked in the broader indexes after the Federal Reserve indicated that it could keep interest rates higher for longer. The S&P 500 fell 3% on Dec. 18, and the Nasdaq Composite tumbled 3.6%. Investors who are worried about a further sell-off -- but want to keep putting new savings to work in the stock market -- have come to the right place.

Low-cost exchange-traded funds (ETFs) offer diversification by investing in dozens, hundreds, and sometimes thousands of stocks. The Vanguard U.S. Minimum Volatility ETF (NYSEMKT: VFMV) has a mere 0.13% expense ratio, or $1.30 for every $1,000 invested. Here's why it's a great buy for 2025.

Two people sitting in front of a laptop on a table. — Image source: Getty Images.

Diversified exposure to companies you can count on

The Vanguard U.S. Minimum Volatility ETF targets super-safe companies, many of which pay dividends. The fund has 161 holdings, with no individual holding making up more than 1.6% of the fund.

Top holdings include recognizable names like Procter & Gamble, Johnson & Johnson, General Mills, and AT&T. These companies are known for their slow and steady growth no matter what the economy is doing.

Dividends are a core aspect of the investment thesis for these companies. Instead of rewarding investors with outsized growth, companies in the Vanguard U.S. Minimum Volatility ETF provide stable passive income to their shareholders. They also tend to be valued more for the businesses they are today, rather than the businesses they could be in the future.

Meanwhile, well-known growth stocks like Nvidia or Amazon are valued based on potential cash flows. These companies don't pay dividends. Instead, they reinvest profits back into their businesses. When done right, the formula can produce outsized gains relative to safer companies. However, companies like Nvidia and Amazon tend to be volatile, because their growth rates can fall dramatically during an economic or industrywide slowdown.

Not your typical value fund

The Vanguard U.S. Minimum Volatility ETF may focus more on income and value. But that doesn't mean the entire investment thesis is based on passive income alone. The fund sports a slightly higher yield than the S&P 500 at 1.4%, and a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 25.3, compared to a 30 P/E for the S&P 500.

Unlike other value funds that are in super underweight growth sectors, the Vanguard U.S. Minimum Volatility ETF has a 22.7% concentration in the technology sector. The fund holds noteworthy names like Apple, Microsoft, Texas Instruments, Cisco Systems, Spotify Technology, and more.

The key difference between this fund and market-cap-weighted funds like the Vanguard Information Technology ETF is that the Vanguard U.S. Minimum Volatility ETF is more like an equal-weight fund. That means Apple and Texas Instruments both make up 1.3% of the fund. In comparison, Apple holds a whopping 16.2% weighting in the Vanguard tech ETF and just 1.1% for Texas Instruments.

Again, the objective of the Vanguard U.S. Minimum Volatility ETF is to limit volatility. It accomplishes that goal by being highly diversified and not allowing a handful of companies to move the fund in a big way. The growth stocks it does target tend to be industry-leading companies that produce consistent results, not high-flying companies valued purely on their potential.

Invest with confidence using the Vanguard U.S. Minimum Volatility ETF

The Vanguard U.S. Minimum Volatility ETF is worth a closer look for investors seeking balanced options in a relatively expensive market. The fund is more dynamic and value-oriented than funds that are purely focused on high-yield stocks. Despite its stodgy-sounding name, the fund can produce solid gains, with the ETF up 15.8% year to date.

There are plenty of higher-yielding, low-cost Vanguard ETFs out there, which passive income investors may want to consider. But folks who are OK with a lower yield and more diversification may wish to explore the Vanguard U.S. Minimum Volatility ETF.

Don’t miss this second chance at a potentially lucrative opportunity

Ever feel like you missed the boat in buying the most successful stocks? Then you’ll want to hear this.

On rare occasions, our expert team of analysts issues a “Double Down” stock recommendation for companies that they think are about to pop. If you’re worried you’ve already missed your chance to invest, now is the best time to buy before it’s too late. And the numbers speak for themselves:

Nvidia: if you invested $1,000 when we doubled down in 2009, you’d have $349,279!*
Apple: if you invested $1,000 when we doubled down in 2008, you’d have $48,196!*
Netflix: if you invested $1,000 when we doubled down in 2004, you’d have $490,243!*

Right now, we’re issuing “Double Down” alerts for three incredible companies, and there may not be another chance like this anytime soon.

See 3 “Double Down” stocks »

*Stock Advisor returns as of December 16, 2024

John Mackey, former CEO of Whole Foods Market, an Amazon subsidiary, is a member of The Motley Fool's board of directors. Daniel Foelber has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has positions in and recommends Amazon, Apple, Cisco Systems, Microsoft, Nvidia, Spotify Technology, and Texas Instruments. The Motley Fool recommends Johnson & Johnson and recommends the following options: long January 2026 $395 calls on Microsoft and short January 2026 $405 calls on Microsoft. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

Worried About a Stock Market Sell-Off in 2025? Consider Buying This Ultra-Safe Vanguard ETF in December. was originally published by The Motley Fool

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