World Bank’s GDP Forecast for 2025 by Country: Top 30

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In this article, we will discuss the 30 growing economies according to the World Bank's GDP forecast for 2025 by country. If you want to skip our detailed analysis, you can go directly to 10 Growing Economies According to the World Bank's GDP Forecast for 2025 by Country.

Global Economic Outlook

The American and European economies are major drivers of global economic activities, being two of the largest economies in the world. The US alone has a GDP of $26.95 trillion, as of 2023. The high inflation and high interest rates in 2023 have created huge economic uncertainty. Throughout 2023, economists have had mixed analyses about the US economy being on the verge of a recession, or heading for a soft landing. As we mentioned earlier, the US economy is expected to beat consensus expectations in 2024. Goldman Sachs analysts project the US GDP to grow by 2.1% in 2024 compared to the 1% growth expected by economists' survey by Bloomberg. The probability of a US recession is less than many economists are projecting, according to Goldman Sachs Research. The probability of the US going into a recession over the next 12 months is 15%.

European economies are expected to perform better over the next two years than in 2023. According to the World Bank’s Global Economic Prospects, the Euro area has a real GDP growth rate forecast of 1.3% and 2.3% for 2024 and 2025 compared to a real GDP growth rate forecast of 0.4% for 2023. East Asia and the Pacific have forecasted real GDP growth rates of 5.5%, 4.4%, and 4.5% for 2023, 2024, and 2025. South Asia has a forecasted real GDP growth rate of 5.9%, 5.1%, and 6.4% for 2023, 2024, and 2025, the highest growth rates compared to the rest of the regions. Overall, Asia seems to be on a solid growth trajectory during this time of high economic uncertainty. Sub-Saharan Africa remains the second best-performing region with the highest real GDP growth potential. For 2023, 2024, and 2025, the real GDP growth rates are forecasted to be 3.2%, 3.9%, and 4% for Sub-Saharan Africa. Most of the fastest growing economies in the world in 2023 belong to Africa, South America, and the Pacific including Guyana, Libya, Fiji, Mozambique, and the Democratic Republic of the Congo, among others. 

According to the Global Economic Outlook 2023-2025 from German insurance and asset management firm Allianz SE (ETR:ALV), the overall global economic activity is expected to remain in below-trend growth between 2024 and 2025. Consumer demand will remain soft due to negative wealth effects and increasing precautionary savings. Moreover, the drop in global trade reached historic lows in the last two years, following the ongoing destocking process in the manufacturing sector. Allianz SE (ETR:ALV) projects the US GDP to grow over 1.1% in 2024, the slowest GDP growth rate since 2009. Leading European economies including Germany and France are both expected to grow by almost 0.7% in 2024, followed by a GDP growth rate of 1.6% in 2025. Asia’s biggest economy, China is projected to have a GDP growth rate of 4.7% in 2024 and 4.2% in 2025.