Wisconsin could see higher prices, shocks to the economy, from new Trump tariffs

President Donald Trump on Friday confirmed he will impose 25% tariffs on Mexico and Canada, effective Saturday, a move that's expected to increase prices for consumers and trigger retaliation from Wisconsin's two largest trading partners.

The president also said he's imposing a 10% tariff on China, in addition to fees already in place, and that tariffs will eventually be levied on the European Union.

Tariffs are import fees which in most cases are passed on to consumers.

In a White House press briefing, Trump cited trade deficits as a key reason for the new tariffs. He also blamed Mexico, Canada and China for the flow of fentanyl into the United States, an illegal drug which has sickened and killed millions of Americans.

"A lot of fentanyl comes through Canada, and China makes fentanyl," he said.

Trump said "probably a 10% tariff" on Canadian crude oil would come later in February. Much of the oil in the U.S. flows from Canada, and experts say the tariff could quickly be felt in higher gas prices.

Petroleum refineries in the Midwest are reliant upon Canadian crude and can't easily switch to other types.

"For a real-time reading of how much tariffs are likely to affect our finances, just watch the price at the pump,” said Brian Jacobsen, chief economist for Annex Wealth, a Brookfield-based investment management firm.

Trump vowed to place "a lot of tariffs" on imported steel, aluminum and copper. It will, he said, "be a great boost" to the American steel industry. He also vowed to place tariffs on foreign pharmaceuticals and computer chips.

"The tariffs are going to make us very rich and very strong," the president said.

Consumers could see higher prices

But tariffs could raise the cost of imported goods like vehicles, appliances, medicine, clothing, food and fuel, hitting household budgets already strained from inflation.

In 2023, Mexico supplied 63% of U.S. vegetable imports and 47% of fruit and nut imports, according to the U.S. Department of Agriculture. Mexico is the world’s largest exporter of tomatoes and avocados, with much of those crops destined for the United States.

Mexico and Canada make many of the vehicles sold in the United States and have strong ties to U.S. parts makers.

American companies could lose valuable business in Mexico, Canada and China as the three countries, in retaliation to Trump's actions, make lists of American products to impose tariffs on.

“I would be most concerned about retaliatory tariffs,” Jacobsen said.

“In the past, farmers and small businesses have gotten caught in the crossfire of trade wars. If the U.S. government then needs to subsidize these businesses to offset some of the damage, then the trade war becomes a lot more costly,” he added.