Why Is Wayfair (W) Down 6.3% Since its Last Earnings Report?

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A month has gone by since the last earnings report for Wayfair Inc. W. Shares have lost about 6.3% in that time frame.

Will the recent negative trend continue leading up to its next earnings release, or is W due for a breakout? Before we dive into how investors and analysts have reacted as of late, let's take a quick look at its most recent earnings report in order to get a better handle on the important drivers.

Wayfair (W) Bottom Line Miss Estimates in Q4; Revenues Beat

Wayfair Inc. (W) reported adjusted fourth-quarter 2017 loss of 58 cents per share, greater than the Zacks Consensus Estimate loss of 51 cents.

Higher-than-expected operating expenses impacted the company’s bottom line.

Revenues

Wayfair reported total net revenues of $1.44 billion in the fourth quarter, reflecting an increase of 21% sequentially and 46% year over year. The increase was driven by strength in both the U.S. and international segments.

However, revenues exceeded the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $1.34 billion.

Important Metrics

Direct Retail net revenue, which includes sales generated primarily through Wayfair’s sites, were $4.6 billion in the fourth quarter, increasing 48% year over year.

Active Customers increased 33.2% to 11 million. Also, LTM net revenues per active customer increased 6.8% to $422 million.

Orders delivered in the quarter were 1.77 million, reflecting an increase of 4% from the year-ago quarter.

Repeat customers placed 62.4% of total fourth quarter orders compared with 58% in the year-ago quarter. They placed 3.9 million orders in the fourth quarter, up 41.3% year over year.

Operating Results

Gross margin was 23.1%, down 110 bps year over year.

Wayfair’s operating expenses of $399.9 million increased 41.6% year over year. The operating margin was (4.7%) compared with (4.4%) in the year ago-quarter.

Balance Sheet & Cash Flow

Wayfair exited the quarter with cash, cash equivalents and short-term investments of roughly $620.0 million, up from $610.4 million in the prior quarter. Accounts receivables were $37.9 million, up from $27.5 million in the last quarter.

Cash flow from operations was $36.9 million in the fourth quarter. The company spent $23.9 million on capex and $11.5 million on site and software development. Free cash flow was $1.4 million.

How Have Estimates Been Moving Since Then?

In the past month, investors have witnessed a downward trend in fresh estimates. There have been seven revisions lower for the current quarter.

Wayfair Inc. Price and Consensus

 

Wayfair Inc. Price and Consensus | Wayfair Inc. Quote