Why Is Warrren Buffett Bullish On Chevron Corporation (CVX)?

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We recently compiled a list of the 8 Best Value Dividend Stocks to Invest in According to Warren Buffett. In this article, we are going to take a look at where Chevron Corporation (NYSE:CVX) stands against the other dividend stocks.

Many experienced economists and investors today take inspiration from Warren Buffett’s strategies. His focus on value investing played a key role in building his fortune. This investment philosophy involves purchasing undervalued stocks or businesses when market sentiment drives prices lower and holding them for the long term. Buffett has made some of his most successful investments by capitalizing on opportunities when others were selling out of fear.

Value investing remains one of the most widely used investment strategies, having generated substantial returns over time. A report from Bank of America highlighted its long-term success, showing that since 1926 through 2023, value stocks have delivered a total return of 1,344,600%, significantly outperforming growth stocks, which have returned 626,000% over the same period.

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Lowell Miller's book, Single Best Investment, highlighted the insights of Fama and French on value investing, referencing their published works in the Journal of Finance. Here are some remarks by Nobel laureates:

“Firms that the market judges to have poor prospects, signaled by low stock prices and low price/book ratios, have higher expected stock returns . . . than firms with strong prospects.”

The book highlighted that when a growth stock does not live up to investors’ high expectations, they come to realize that its price was inflated, often resulting in a sharp decline. In contrast, value stocks, which generally have lower expectations, can exceed predictions, leading to a positive reassessment of their price. However, the book also stresses the importance of diversification, as relying too heavily on a single investment can be risky. Historically, maintaining a diversified portfolio has been a prudent approach for investors.

According to a report by BlackRock, value stocks can serve as a buffer in a shifting market environment. A recent example was the broad market downturn in 2022, where steep declines in growth stocks were somewhat balanced by smaller losses in value stocks. By definition, value stocks trade at lower prices compared to growth stocks, though the extent of this discount has varied over time.

An analysis of the broader market’s growth and value stocks suggests that valuations would need to climb by more than 40% to bring value stocks back to their long-term median levels. This indicates significant upside potential if value stocks begin to recover, particularly as high valuations in growth stocks may encourage investors to shift toward value as the market expands its focus beyond mega-cap companies. While past performance does not guarantee future results, history offers some perspective. The last time the valuation gap between the Russell Growth and Russell Value indexes was as wide as it is today—back in December 2000—value stocks went on to outperform growth stocks over the following one-, three-, and five-year periods, the BlackRock report further highlighted.