Why Is Universal Technical (UTI) Up 31.8% Since Last Earnings Report?

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A month has gone by since the last earnings report for Universal Technical Institute (UTI). Shares have added about 31.8% in that time frame, outperforming the S&P 500.

Will the recent positive trend continue leading up to its next earnings release, or is Universal Technical due for a pullback? Before we dive into how investors and analysts have reacted as of late, let's take a quick look at its most recent earnings report in order to get a better handle on the important drivers.

Universal Technical’s Q4 Loss In Line, Revenues Miss

Universal Technical Institute, Inc. recently reported fiscal fourth-quarter 2018 results, wherein loss of 49 cents per share was in line with the Zacks Consensus Estimate. However, quarterly revenues of $80.3 million missed the consensus mark of $81.3 million by 1.3%.

Loss incurred during the fiscal fourth quarter was wider than the year-ago level of 8 cents. Also, revenues declined 1.3% from the prior-year quarter, attributable to a 2.1% reduction in average student population.

Nevertheless, total starts rose 8.5% year over year to 6,022 during the quarter. This year-over-year growth was recorded for the first time in eight years.

Operating Highlights

Operating expenses of $91.3 million grew 10.8% from a year ago due to a rise in compensation and related costs, along with advertising, contract services and student expenses. Operating loss in the quarter was $11.1 million compared with $1.1 million in the prior-year quarter.

Earnings (loss) before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortization (EBITDA) were $(6.4) million compared with $3.9 million in the year-ago period.

Financials

The company had cash and cash equivalents of $58.1 million as of Sep 30, 2018 compared with $50.1 million on Sep 30, 2017.

Net cash used in operations came in at $13.5 million in 2018 compared with $10 million recorded a year ago.

Fiscal 2018 Highlights

Universal Technical incurred fiscal 2018 loss of $1.51 per share, which was in line with the Zacks Consensus Estimate. However, revenues of $317 million missed the consensus mark of $318.1 million by 0.3%.

Revenues in fiscal 2018 decreased 2.3% year over year due to a 4.3% decline in average student population. Loss widened to $1.51 per share from 54 cents in fiscal 2017. Total starts slightly increased to 10,705 from the prior-year level of 10,573.

The company’s operating expenses in fiscal 2018 came in at $352.2 million, up 8% from a year ago. Operating loss was $32.7 million compared with $8.1 million in fiscal 2017.

EBITDA in the fiscal year was $(16.7) million compared with $17.9 million a year ago.

Fiscal 2019 View

Universal Technical expects mid-high single digit new student starts growth across its existing campuses, including the new Bloomfield, NJ campus. The average student population is likely to rise in low-single digits.

Fiscal 2019 revenues are expected in the range of $322-$332 million. Operating expenses are projected in the range of $337-$347 million.

Universal Technical expects to incur operating loss between $10 and $15 million, due to investments in marketing and admissions to support start growth, along with the expansion of its welding program. EBITDA is anticipated in the range of $5-$11 million.

Capital expenditure for fiscal 2019 is likely to be between $8 million and $10 million.