Why Singapore Airlines Limited (SGX:C6L) Delivered An Inferior ROE Compared To The Industry

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Singapore Airlines Limited’s (SGX:C6L) most recent return on equity was a substandard 4.29% relative to its industry performance of 17.46% over the past year. An investor may attribute an inferior ROE to a relatively inefficient performance, and whilst this can often be the case, knowing the nuts and bolts of the ROE calculation may change that perspective and give you a deeper insight into C6L’s past performance. I will take you through how metrics such as financial leverage impact ROE which may affect the overall sustainability of C6L’s returns. See our latest analysis for Singapore Airlines

Breaking down ROE — the mother of all ratios

Firstly, Return on Equity, or ROE, is simply the percentage of last years’ earning against the book value of shareholders’ equity. An ROE of 4.29% implies SGD0.04 returned on every SGD1 invested. While a higher ROE is preferred in most cases, there are several other factors we should consider before drawing any conclusions.

Return on Equity = Net Profit ÷ Shareholders Equity

ROE is measured against cost of equity in order to determine the efficiency of Singapore Airlines’s equity capital deployed. Its cost of equity is 8.38%. This means Singapore Airlines’s returns actually do not cover its own cost of equity, with a discrepancy of -4.09%. This isn’t sustainable as it implies, very simply, that the company pays more for its capital than what it generates in return. ROE can be broken down into three different ratios: net profit margin, asset turnover, and financial leverage. This is called the Dupont Formula:

Dupont Formula

ROE = profit margin × asset turnover × financial leverage

ROE = (annual net profit ÷ sales) × (sales ÷ assets) × (assets ÷ shareholders’ equity)

ROE = annual net profit ÷ shareholders’ equity

SGX:C6L Last Perf Mar 4th 18
SGX:C6L Last Perf Mar 4th 18

The first component is profit margin, which measures how much of sales is retained after the company pays for all its expenses. The other component, asset turnover, illustrates how much revenue Singapore Airlines can make from its asset base. The most interesting ratio, and reflective of sustainability of its ROE, is financial leverage. Since financial leverage can artificially inflate ROE, we need to look at how much debt Singapore Airlines currently has. At 21.83%, Singapore Airlines’s debt-to-equity ratio appears low and indicates that Singapore Airlines still has room to increase leverage and grow its profits.

SGX:C6L Historical Debt Mar 4th 18
SGX:C6L Historical Debt Mar 4th 18

Next Steps:

While ROE is a relatively simple calculation, it can be broken down into different ratios, each telling a different story about the strengths and weaknesses of a company. Singapore Airlines exhibits a weak ROE against its peers, as well as insufficient levels to cover its own cost of equity this year. However, ROE is not likely to be inflated by excessive debt funding, giving shareholders more conviction in the sustainability of returns, which has headroom to increase further. ROE is a helpful signal, but it is definitely not sufficient on its own to make an investment decision.