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A month has gone by since the last earnings report for Mednax (MD). Shares have lost about 12.3% in that time frame, underperforming the S&P 500.
Will the recent negative trend continue leading up to its next earnings release, or is Mednax due for a breakout? Before we dive into how investors and analysts have reacted as of late, let's take a quick look at the most recent earnings report in order to get a better handle on the important drivers.
MEDNAX Q1 Earnings Miss Estimates, Decline Y/Y
MEDNAX reported first-quarter 2019 adjusted earnings of 65 cents per share, missing the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 8.5%. Moreover, the bottom line decreased 27% year over year due to a rise in expenses and lower revenues.
Quarterly Details
The company generated revenues of $851.18 million, lagging the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 5.9%. Also, the top line was down 0.2% from the year-ago period.
General and administrative expenses inched up 0.1% to $101 million.
Interest expenses of the company escalated 54.3% to $30.7 million, primarily due to higher effective interest rate on borrowings between the two periods.
In the quarter under review, adjusted EBITDA totaled $104.9 million, down by nearly 14.3%.
Financial Update
As of Mar 31, 2019, the company had cash and cash equivalents of about $46.5 million, down 2.2% from the level as of 2018 end.
The company incurred total debt of $2.1 billion, up 7.3% from the level as of Dec 31, 2018, and total assets of $5.7 billion, down 3.9% from the figure at 2018 end.
It used $60.4 million to fund operations in the first three months of 2019, down 48.3% year over year.
Capital Deployment
The company bought back shares worth $79 million in the first three months of 2019.
Second-Quarter Outlook
For the second quarter of 2019, the company expects adjusted EPS in the band of 84-92 cents, up from the previous guidance of 67-75 cents. MEDNAX projects adjusted EBITDA in the range of 125-$135 million, up from the past forecast of $108-$118 million.
This guidance assumes total same-unit revenue growth for the second quarter of 2019 from flat to 2% as compared to the prior-year period’s level.
2019 Guidance Revised
The company now estimates adjusted EBITDA within $505-$535 million, down from the earlier prediction of $550-$580 million.
How Have Estimates Been Moving Since Then?
In the past month, investors have witnessed a downward trend in fresh estimates. The consensus estimate has shifted -9.42% due to these changes.
VGM Scores
At this time, Mednax has a poor Growth Score of F, however its Momentum Score is doing a bit better with a D. However, the stock was allocated a grade of B on the value side, putting it in the top 40% for this investment strategy.