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Why the Market Dipped But Novavax (NVAX) Gained Today

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Novavax (NVAX) closed the most recent trading day at $6.01, moving +0.17% from the previous trading session. This change outpaced the S&P 500's 2.36% loss on the day. Elsewhere, the Dow saw a downswing of 2.48%, while the tech-heavy Nasdaq depreciated by 2.55%.

Prior to today's trading, shares of the vaccine maker had lost 21.05% over the past month. This has lagged the Medical sector's loss of 9.83% and the S&P 500's loss of 5.6% in that time.

Analysts and investors alike will be keeping a close eye on the performance of Novavax in its upcoming earnings disclosure. It is anticipated that the company will report an EPS of $0.19, marking a 118.1% rise compared to the same quarter of the previous year. Meanwhile, the Zacks Consensus Estimate for revenue is projecting net sales of $71.84 million, down 23.47% from the year-ago period.

For the full year, the Zacks Consensus Estimates are projecting earnings of $0.75 per share and revenue of $536.24 million, which would represent changes of +160.98% and -21.39%, respectively, from the prior year.

Furthermore, it would be beneficial for investors to monitor any recent shifts in analyst projections for Novavax. These revisions typically reflect the latest short-term business trends, which can change frequently. As a result, we can interpret positive estimate revisions as a good sign for the company's business outlook.

Empirical research indicates that these revisions in estimates have a direct correlation with impending stock price performance. To benefit from this, we have developed the Zacks Rank, a proprietary model which takes these estimate changes into account and provides an actionable rating system.

The Zacks Rank system, which varies between #1 (Strong Buy) and #5 (Strong Sell), carries an impressive track record of exceeding expectations, confirmed by external audits, with stocks at #1 delivering an average annual return of +25% since 1988. The Zacks Consensus EPS estimate has moved 579.09% higher within the past month. Novavax currently has a Zacks Rank of #3 (Hold).

With respect to valuation, Novavax is currently being traded at a Forward P/E ratio of 7.97. This expresses a discount compared to the average Forward P/E of 15.7 of its industry.

Also, we should mention that NVAX has a PEG ratio of 0.15. This popular metric is similar to the widely-known P/E ratio, with the difference being that the PEG ratio also takes into account the company's expected earnings growth rate. By the end of yesterday's trading, the Medical - Biomedical and Genetics industry had an average PEG ratio of 1.25.