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Wall Street watches a company's quarterly report closely to understand as much as possible about its recent performance and what to expect going forward. Of course, one figure often stands out among the rest: earnings.
We know earnings results are vital, but how a company performs compared to bottom line expectations can be even more important when it comes to stock prices, especially in the near-term. This means that investors might want to take advantage of these earnings surprises.
2 Stocks to Add to Your Watchlist
The Zacks Earnings ESP is more formally known as the Expected Surprise Prediction, and it aims to grab the inside track on the latest analyst estimate revisions ahead of a company's report. The idea is relatively intuitive as a newer projection might be based on more complete information. The ESP is calculated by comparing the Most Accurate Estimate to the Zacks Consensus Estimate, with the percentage difference between the two giving us the Zacks ESP figure.
The final step today is to look at a stock that meets our ESP qualifications. Roku (ROKU) earns a Zacks Rank #3 three days from its next quarterly earnings release on May 1, 2025, and its Most Accurate Estimate comes in at -$0.07 a share.
Roku's Earnings ESP sits at 65.17%, which, as explained above, is calculated by taking the percentage difference between the -$0.07 Most Accurate Estimate and the Zacks Consensus Estimate of -$0.20.
ROKU is just one of a large group of Consumer Discretionary stocks with a positive ESP figure. Marriott International (MAR) is another qualifying stock you may want to consider.
Marriott International, which is readying to report earnings on May 6, 2025, sits at a Zacks Rank #3 (Hold) right now. It's Most Accurate Estimate is currently $2.29 a share, and MAR is eight days out from its next earnings report.
Marriott International's Earnings ESP figure currently stands at 0.88% after taking the percentage difference between its Most Accurate Estimate and its Zacks Consensus Estimate of $2.27.
ROKU and MAR's positive ESP figures tell us that both stocks have a good chance at beating analyst expectations in their next earnings report.
Find Stocks to Buy or Sell Before They're Reported
Use the Zacks Earnings ESP Filter to turn up stocks with the highest probability of positively, or negatively, surprising to buy or sell before they're reported for profitable earnings season trading. Check it out here >>
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