Here’s why Hotel Grand Central Limited’s (SGX:H18) Returns On Capital Matters So Much

In This Article:

Today we'll evaluate Hotel Grand Central Limited (SGX:H18) to determine whether it could have potential as an investment idea. Specifically, we're going to calculate its Return On Capital Employed (ROCE), in the hopes of getting some insight into the business.

First of all, we'll work out how to calculate ROCE. Then we'll compare its ROCE to similar companies. Finally, we'll look at how its current liabilities affect its ROCE.

Understanding Return On Capital Employed (ROCE)

ROCE is a measure of a company's yearly pre-tax profit (its return), relative to the capital employed in the business. All else being equal, a better business will have a higher ROCE. Overall, it is a valuable metric that has its flaws. Renowned investment researcher Michael Mauboussin has suggested that a high ROCE can indicate that 'one dollar invested in the company generates value of more than one dollar'.

How Do You Calculate Return On Capital Employed?

Analysts use this formula to calculate return on capital employed:

Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)

Or for Hotel Grand Central:

0.02 = S$31m ÷ (S$1.6b - S$52m) (Based on the trailing twelve months to June 2019.)

So, Hotel Grand Central has an ROCE of 2.0%.

View our latest analysis for Hotel Grand Central

Does Hotel Grand Central Have A Good ROCE?

One way to assess ROCE is to compare similar companies. Using our data, Hotel Grand Central's ROCE appears to be significantly below the 7.4% average in the Hospitality industry. This could be seen as a negative, as it suggests some competitors may be employing their capital more efficiently. Putting aside Hotel Grand Central's performance relative to its industry, its ROCE in absolute terms is poor - considering the risk of owning stocks compared to government bonds. Readers may wish to look for more rewarding investments.

You can see in the image below how Hotel Grand Central's ROCE compares to its industry. Click to see more on past growth.

SGX:H18 Past Revenue and Net Income, October 18th 2019
SGX:H18 Past Revenue and Net Income, October 18th 2019

It is important to remember that ROCE shows past performance, and is not necessarily predictive. ROCE can be deceptive for cyclical businesses, as returns can look incredible in boom times, and terribly low in downturns. ROCE is only a point-in-time measure. If Hotel Grand Central is cyclical, it could make sense to check out this free graph of past earnings, revenue and cash flow.

What Are Current Liabilities, And How Do They Affect Hotel Grand Central's ROCE?

Current liabilities are short term bills and invoices that need to be paid in 12 months or less. The ROCE equation subtracts current liabilities from capital employed, so a company with a lot of current liabilities appears to have less capital employed, and a higher ROCE than otherwise. To check the impact of this, we calculate if a company has high current liabilities relative to its total assets.