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We recently compiled a list of the 10 Best Coffee Stocks To Buy According to Hedge Funds. In this article, we are going to take a look at where Farmer Bros. Co. (NASDAQ:FARM) stands against the other best coffee stocks to buy according to hedge funds.
The Global Coffee Market Continues to Struggle
According to a report by Mordor Intelligence, the global coffee market size is estimated at $132.13 billion in 2024 and is expected to grow to $166.39 billion by 2029, growing at a compound annual growth rate of 4.72% during the forecast period. Over the last 2 years, coffee prices have hit multi-year peaks. Reuters reports that global coffee prices have risen to their highest in nearly 50 years. This has been the result of poor weather in Brazil and Vietnam.
Brazil produces almost half the world's high-end beans used primarily in roast and ground blends. The country has been the victim of one of its worst droughts on record this year. While rains did come in the month of October, they might have been too late. According to farmers and agronomists, the coffee trees are unable to recover for the 2025 crop. The next crop is not expected to be big. It is believed that coffee trees that have suffered from the dryness would be using energy to produce leaves, instead of fruits, after the rain. This means that there will be barely enough energy in the crops to develop fruits after flowering.
The other major coffee producer Vietnam produces roughly 40% of the robusta beans used to make instant coffee. The country was subjected to a severe drought earlier in 2024 which was followed by excess rains since October, with the current harvest following 3 years of supply deficits.
How’s the End Market Likely to Suffer?
The soaring coffee prices are casting their impact across the value chain as they hurt roasters and cafes and eventually the customers. Consumers are expected to see the price spike in 6 to 12 months since roasters tend to buy coffee months in advance. The Nescafe and Nespresso maker Nestlé has decided to raise prices and make bags smaller with beans getting expensive. Especially for the American coffee enthusiast, imported goods such as coffee beans are likely to witness markups if the new administration decides to impose tariffs on coffee-producing countries. Before the potential price hikes from tariffs hit, many Americans are already stockpiling various goods including coffee.
A freshly brewed cup of coffee on a barista's counter with the store's logo in the background.
Our Methodology
In order to compile a list of the 10 best coffee stocks to buy according to hedge funds, we went through stock screeners, relevant ETFs, and media reports to make a list of coffee stocks. Moving on, we shortlisted the top 10 stocks from our list which had the highest number of hedge fund holders. The 10 best coffee stocks to buy according to hedge funds have been arranged in ascending order of their hedge fund holders as of Q3.