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Continental Aktiengesellschaft (ETR:CON) received a lot of attention from a substantial price movement on the XTRA over the last few months, increasing to €71.28 at one point, and dropping to the lows of €58.78. Some share price movements can give investors a better opportunity to enter into the stock, and potentially buy at a lower price. A question to answer is whether Continental's current trading price of €64.60 reflective of the actual value of the large-cap? Or is it currently undervalued, providing us with the opportunity to buy? Let’s take a look at Continental’s outlook and value based on the most recent financial data to see if there are any catalysts for a price change.
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What's The Opportunity In Continental?
The share price seems sensible at the moment according to our price multiple model, where we compare the company's price-to-earnings ratio to the industry average. In this instance, we’ve used the price-to-earnings (PE) ratio given that there is not enough information to reliably forecast the stock’s cash flows. We find that Continental’s ratio of 11.06x is trading slightly above its industry peers’ ratio of 11.06x, which means if you buy Continental today, you’d be paying a relatively sensible price for it. And if you believe Continental should be trading in this range, then there isn’t really any room for the share price grow beyond the levels of other industry peers over the long-term. Although, there may be an opportunity to buy in the future. This is because Continental’s beta (a measure of share price volatility) is high, meaning its price movements will be exaggerated relative to the rest of the market. If the market is bearish, the company’s shares will likely fall by more than the rest of the market, providing a prime buying opportunity.
View our latest analysis for Continental
What does the future of Continental look like?
Investors looking for growth in their portfolio may want to consider the prospects of a company before buying its shares. Although value investors would argue that it’s the intrinsic value relative to the price that matter the most, a more compelling investment thesis would be high growth potential at a cheap price. Continental's earnings over the next few years are expected to increase by 83%, indicating a highly optimistic future ahead. This should lead to more robust cash flows, feeding into a higher share value.
What This Means For You
Are you a shareholder? It seems like the market has already priced in CON’s positive outlook, with shares trading around industry price multiples. However, there are also other important factors which we haven’t considered today, such as the track record of its management team. Have these factors changed since the last time you looked at CON? Will you have enough confidence to invest in the company should the price drop below the industry PE ratio?