Why Boring Old Dillard's Is an Exciting Stock

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In the age of e-commerce, many department stores have been left for dead by investors. The department store model is under severe pressure from online shopping and lower mall traffic, and this has caused most department store names to greatly lag the market over the past few years.

Recently, however, a series of positive earnings reports, combined with a positive retail sales report, sent certain names skyrocketing; most notably, Dillard's (NYSE: DDS), which rose more than other strong names in the space.

DDS 5 Day Returns (Daily) Chart
DDS 5 Day Returns (Daily) Chart

DDS 5 Day Returns (Daily) data by YCharts

While Dillard's earnings report on Feb. 27 was among the strongest of the group, there are also other reasons the stock has soared, mostly having to do with its ownership structure. Here are the ins and outs of the quarter, and the additional reason behind Dillard's big gains.

Fourth-quarter blowout

Indeed, Dillard's delivered a really strong quarter, at least by department store standards: Revenue increased 6.6% year-over year to $2.11 billion (beating estimates by $80 million) and earnings per share (adjusted for the effect of tax reform) came in at a whopping $2.82, well above consensus estimates of $1.77. The results were bolstered by especially strong sales in apparel across men's, women's, and junior categories. Comparable-store sales came in at roughly 3.3%, the first positive comp Dillard's posted since the second quarter of 2015.

And while many thought massive discounting would weigh on margins, Dillard's actually reported a surprising 48-point gross margin improvement in retail operations over the prior year's fourth quarter. That was a big change from the previous three quarters. In fact, for the full year, the company reported a gross margin decline of 65 basis points due to aggressive discounting earlier in the year.

On the heels of the positive fourth-quarter report, investor sentiment was further bolstered by a positive retail sales Census report, which showed department stores actually growing January sales 0.8% from the month of December, far better than the overall retail industry's monthly decline of (0.3%).

These numbers were good, but they don't explain the entirety of the huge 24% move in Dillard's stock from the day before the earnings report to March 2. Here's what added fuel to the fire.

a price tag with three dollar signs on it on a wooden table.
a price tag with three dollar signs on it on a wooden table.

Image source: Getty Images.

Dillard's does it differently

The extra element that catapulted Dillard's rise is its concentrated ownership structure, combined with a very high short interest. The company is closely held by the namesake Dillard family, and the largest shareholder is actually the the company's own employee 401(k) plan.