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Just because a business does not make any money, does not mean that the stock will go down. For example, biotech and mining exploration companies often lose money for years before finding success with a new treatment or mineral discovery. But while history lauds those rare successes, those that fail are often forgotten; who remembers Pets.com?
So should BenevolentAI (AMS:BAI) shareholders be worried about its cash burn? In this article, we define cash burn as its annual (negative) free cash flow, which is the amount of money a company spends each year to fund its growth. We'll start by comparing its cash burn with its cash reserves in order to calculate its cash runway.
View our latest analysis for BenevolentAI
Does BenevolentAI Have A Long Cash Runway?
A company's cash runway is the amount of time it would take to burn through its cash reserves at its current cash burn rate. As at June 2024, BenevolentAI had cash of UK£38m and no debt. Looking at the last year, the company burnt through UK£48m. Therefore, from June 2024 it had roughly 10 months of cash runway. Importantly, analysts think that BenevolentAI will reach cashflow breakeven in 2 years. That means unless the company reduces its cash burn quickly, it may well look to raise more cash. You can see how its cash balance has changed over time in the image below.
How Well Is BenevolentAI Growing?
It was fairly positive to see that BenevolentAI reduced its cash burn by 42% during the last year. But it makes us pessimistic to see that operating revenue slid 56% in that time. Considering both these factors, we're not particularly excited by its growth profile. While the past is always worth studying, it is the future that matters most of all. For that reason, it makes a lot of sense to take a look at our analyst forecasts for the company.
Can BenevolentAI Raise More Cash Easily?
Given BenevolentAI's revenue is receding, there's a considerable chance it will eventually need to raise more money to spend on driving growth. Generally speaking, a listed business can raise new cash through issuing shares or taking on debt. Commonly, a business will sell new shares in itself to raise cash and drive growth. By looking at a company's cash burn relative to its market capitalisation, we gain insight on how much shareholders would be diluted if the company needed to raise enough cash to cover another year's cash burn.
BenevolentAI's cash burn of UK£48m is about 121% of its UK£39m market capitalisation. That suggests the company may have some funding difficulties, and we'd be very wary of the stock.