Weekly Outlook: October 16 - 20

Dollar fluctuates after U.S. inflation data dampens rate hike bets
Dollar fluctuates after U.S. inflation data dampens rate hike bets

Investing.com -The dollar fluctuated against a basket of the other major currencies on Friday after mixed consumer inflation data clouded the outlook for another rate increase by the Federal Reserve in the coming months.

Consumer prices rose 0.5% last month after advancing 0.4% in August the Labor Department reported Friday. Economists had forecast a 0.6% increase.

It was the largest increase in eight months, but was mainly driven by soaring gasoline prices after hurricanes hit the southern U.S. Underlying inflation remained subdued.

The report came after the minutes of the Fed's September meeting published on Wednesday showed "many participants expressed concern that the low inflation readings this year might reflect not only transitory factors, but also the influence of developments that could prove more persistent."

The data tempered expectations that the Fed will hike interest rates in December for a third time this year.

Expectations that U.S. rates will rise help support the dollar by making U.S. assets more attractive to yield-seeking investors.

The U.S. dollar index, which measures the greenback’s strength against a trade-weighted basket of six major currencies, was little changed at 93.62 late Friday, after falling to a more than two-week lows of 92.59 earlier in the session.

The dollar ended lower against the yen, with USD/JPY down 0.43% to 111.80.

The euro was a touch lower, with EUR/USD dipping to 1.1822 in late trade after European Central Bank President Mario Draghi said the euro zone still requires substantial monetary stimulus as inflation remains muted.

Sterling gained ground amid hopes that Britain could be offered a two-year Brexit transition deal. GBP/USD advanced 0.2% to 1.3287 late Friday and ended the week up 1.7% after suffering its worst week in more than a year the previous week.

In the week ahead, investors will be looking at U.S. housing data to assess the economic impact of the hurricanes which hit the southern U.S. last month.

Thursday’s data on third quarter Chinese growth will be closely watched for insight into the health of the world’s second largest economy.

Tuesday’s UK inflation data will also be in focus amid speculation over a possible rate hike by the Bank of England as soon as next month.

Ahead of the coming week, Investing.com has compiled a list of these and other significant events likely to affect the markets.

Monday, October 16

China is to release inflation data.

Canada is to report on foreign securities purchases and the country’s central bank is to publish its business outlook survey.