Weak Financial Prospects Seem To Be Dragging Down Stockland (ASX:SGP) Stock

editorial-team@simplywallst.com (Simply Wall St)

Mon, Apr 7, 2025, 5:42 PM 4 min read

It is hard to get excited after looking at Stockland's (ASX:SGP) recent performance, when its stock has declined 1.8% over the past month. Given that stock prices are usually driven by a company’s fundamentals over the long term, which in this case look pretty weak, we decided to study the company's key financial indicators. Specifically, we decided to study Stockland's ROE in this article.

Return on Equity or ROE is a test of how effectively a company is growing its value and managing investors’ money. In simpler terms, it measures the profitability of a company in relation to shareholder's equity.

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How Is ROE Calculated?

Return on equity can be calculated by using the formula:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Stockland is:

4.5% = AU$448m ÷ AU$9.9b (Based on the trailing twelve months to December 2024).

The 'return' is the profit over the last twelve months. That means that for every A$1 worth of shareholders' equity, the company generated A$0.05 in profit.

Check out our latest analysis for Stockland

What Is The Relationship Between ROE And Earnings Growth?

Thus far, we have learned that ROE measures how efficiently a company is generating its profits. Depending on how much of these profits the company reinvests or "retains", and how effectively it does so, we are then able to assess a company’s earnings growth potential. Assuming everything else remains unchanged, the higher the ROE and profit retention, the higher the growth rate of a company compared to companies that don't necessarily bear these characteristics.

A Side By Side comparison of Stockland's Earnings Growth And 4.5% ROE

It is hard to argue that Stockland's ROE is much good in and of itself. An industry comparison shows that the company's ROE is not much different from the industry average of 4.7% either. Thus, the low ROE provides some context to Stockland's flat net income growth over the past five years.

We then compared Stockland's net income growth with the industry and found that the company's growth figure is lower than the average industry growth rate of 11% in the same 5-year period, which is a bit concerning.

past-earnings-growth — ASX:SGP Past Earnings Growth April 7th 2025

Earnings growth is a huge factor in stock valuation. It’s important for an investor to know whether the market has priced in the company's expected earnings growth (or decline). Doing so will help them establish if the stock's future looks promising or ominous. What is SGP worth today? The intrinsic value infographic in our free research report helps visualize whether SGP is currently mispriced by the market.

Is Stockland Making Efficient Use Of Its Profits?

Stockland seems to be paying out most of its income as dividends judging by its three-year median payout ratio of 74%, meaning that the company retains only 26% of its profits. However, this is typical for REITs as they are often required by law to distribute most of their earnings. Accordingly, this suggests that the company's earnings growth was miniscule as a result of the high payout.

Additionally, Stockland has paid dividends over a period of at least ten years, which means that the company's management is determined to pay dividends even if it means little to no earnings growth. Based on the latest analysts' estimates, we found that the company's future payout ratio over the next three years is expected to hold steady at 72%. Still, forecasts suggest that Stockland's future ROE will rise to 8.4% even though the the company's payout ratio is not expected to change by much.

Conclusion

On the whole, Stockland's performance is quite a big let-down. Because the company is not reinvesting much into the business, and given the low ROE, it's not surprising to see the lack or absence of growth in its earnings. That being so, the latest analyst forecasts show that the company will continue to see an expansion in its earnings. Are these analysts expectations based on the broad expectations for the industry, or on the company's fundamentals? Click here to be taken to our analyst's forecasts page for the company.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.