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Finding a business that has the potential to grow substantially is not easy, but it is possible if we look at a few key financial metrics. Amongst other things, we'll want to see two things; firstly, a growing return on capital employed (ROCE) and secondly, an expansion in the company's amount of capital employed. Basically this means that a company has profitable initiatives that it can continue to reinvest in, which is a trait of a compounding machine. However, after investigating Codan (ASX:CDA), we don't think it's current trends fit the mold of a multi-bagger.
Return On Capital Employed (ROCE): What Is It?
For those who don't know, ROCE is a measure of a company's yearly pre-tax profit (its return), relative to the capital employed in the business. Analysts use this formula to calculate it for Codan:
Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)
0.19 = AU$114m ÷ (AU$769m - AU$155m) (Based on the trailing twelve months to June 2024).
Thus, Codan has an ROCE of 19%. On its own, that's a standard return, however it's much better than the 7.9% generated by the Electronic industry.
See our latest analysis for Codan
In the above chart we have measured Codan's prior ROCE against its prior performance, but the future is arguably more important. If you're interested, you can view the analysts predictions in our free analyst report for Codan .
What Does the ROCE Trend For Codan Tell Us?
In terms of Codan's historical ROCE movements, the trend isn't fantastic. Around five years ago the returns on capital were 29%, but since then they've fallen to 19%. Although, given both revenue and the amount of assets employed in the business have increased, it could suggest the company is investing in growth, and the extra capital has led to a short-term reduction in ROCE. And if the increased capital generates additional returns, the business, and thus shareholders, will benefit in the long run.
Our Take On Codan's ROCE
In summary, despite lower returns in the short term, we're encouraged to see that Codan is reinvesting for growth and has higher sales as a result. And long term investors must be optimistic going forward because the stock has returned a huge 124% to shareholders in the last five years. So while the underlying trends could already be accounted for by investors, we still think this stock is worth looking into further.
If you're still interested in Codan it's worth checking out our FREE intrinsic value approximation for CDA to see if it's trading at an attractive price in other respects.