Volatility 101: Should Coastal Financial (NASDAQ:CCB) Shares Have Dropped 11%?

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The simplest way to benefit from a rising market is to buy an index fund. When you buy individual stocks, you can make higher profits, but you also face the risk of under-performance. Unfortunately the Coastal Financial Corporation (NASDAQ:CCB) share price slid 11% over twelve months. That's disappointing when you consider the market returned 2.6%. We wouldn't rush to judgement on Coastal Financial because we don't have a long term history to look at. Unhappily, the share price slid 4.1% in the last week.

Check out our latest analysis for Coastal Financial

There is no denying that markets are sometimes efficient, but prices do not always reflect underlying business performance. One imperfect but simple way to consider how the market perception of a company has shifted is to compare the change in the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price movement.

Even though the Coastal Financial share price is down over the year, its EPS actually improved. Of course, the situation might betray previous over-optimism about growth.

It's surprising to see the share price fall so much, despite the improved EPS. But we might find some different metrics explain the share price movements better.

Coastal Financial managed to grow revenue over the last year, which is usually a real positive. Since we can't easily explain the share price movement based on these metrics, it might be worth considering how market sentiment has changed towards the stock.

You can see how earnings and revenue have changed over time in the image below (click on the chart to see the exact values).

NasdaqGS:CCB Income Statement, September 27th 2019
NasdaqGS:CCB Income Statement, September 27th 2019

We like that insiders have been buying shares in the last twelve months. Even so, future earnings will be far more important to whether current shareholders make money. If you are thinking of buying or selling Coastal Financial stock, you should check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

A Different Perspective

While Coastal Financial shareholders are down 11% for the year, the market itself is up 2.6%. However, keep in mind that even the best stocks will sometimes underperform the market over a twelve month period. The share price decline has continued throughout the most recent three months, down 2.7%, suggesting an absence of enthusiasm from investors. Given the relatively short history of this stock, we'd remain pretty wary until we see some strong business performance. It is all well and good that insiders have been buying shares, but we suggest you check here to see what price insiders were buying at.

If you like to buy stocks alongside management, then you might just love this free list of companies. (Hint: insiders have been buying them).