We recently published a list of12 Cheap Chinese Stocks to Buy According to Hedge Funds. In this article, we are going to take a look at where Vipshop Holdings Limited (NYSE:VIPS) stands against the other Cheap Chinese stocks to buy.
Trump’s Back and China’s Stimulus Lags
Trump is back as the President of the United States and China’s stimulus plans have let down investors, which has created more economic uncertainty regarding China. China is trying to fix its economy and Trump’s comeback to the White House means steep tariffs for Chinese-made goods. In his first term, President-elect Donald Trump imposed tariffs up to 25% on Chinese goods, initiating a trade war between two global giants. Trump’s second stint in the office is expected to imply tariffs as high as 60% on Chinese-made goods.
On the other hand, China’s stimulus of $1.5 trillion or nearly 10 billion yuan to back its economy doesn’t seem to appeal the investors. China’s stimulus has come at a time when the economy is struggling badly and there are potential tariff threats from the new U.S. administration. In addition to that, overseas companies are drawing their money out of China as the growth outlook seems gloomier. In the first nine months of 2024, foreign direct investment (FDI) slid nearly $13 billion. According to China’s Administration of Foreign Exchange, the FDI outflows exceeded $8.1 billion in Q3, potentially leading to a net FDI outflow for the first time since 1990. This shows that investors are still pessimistic regarding China’s economic reforms aimed at stabilizing growth.
The consumer price inflation (CPI) in October eased to 0.3% year-over-year compared to an expected 0.4%, while the producer price index (PPI) dropped by 2.9% year-over-year in October, slightly widening from the 2.8% decline observed in September 2024. Following the U.S. elections and China’s lower-than-expected inflation outcome, UBS has lowered China’s 2025 GDP growth estimate to 4% from the 4.5% it made in October. The Swiss Bank anticipates the GDP growth for 2026 to be also considerably lower.
What Could Happen in the Short-Term and the Long-term?
With Trump’s victory and the news regarding sparking expectations of steep tariffs, U.S. importers are expected to rush to front-load goods from China before the Presidential inauguration in January 2025. This could potentially lead to cost increases and deliver a surprising push to Chinese exports.
In the long run, analysts expect Trump’s tariff policy’s impact on the Chinese economy would be modest. However, the additional tariffs could hit exports and lead to a higher fiscal deficit or currency depreciation for China. Economists at Capital Economics project that the direct impact of large U.S. tariffs on China would be less than 0.5% of its GDP. The reason for this can be exporters finding alternative routes via other countries and also receiving support from depreciation of the yuan.
The Hang Seng Index has plunged more than 4% over the last five days, as of November 15, while the CSI 300 index has plummeted by nearly 2.50% in the last five days and is up by almost 3% in the last month. We can see the mixed reaction of the market considering the recent events.
With that, let’s take a look at Vipshop Holdings Limited (NYSE:VIPS) and what's up with the Chinese stock.
Is Vipshop Holdings Limited (NYSE:VIPS) One of the Cheapest Chinese Stocks to Buy?
10 stocks receiving a massive vote of approval from Wall Street analysts
Our Methodology
To find the 10 Cheap Chinese Stocks to Buy According to Hedge Funds, first, we used stock screeners and shortlisted Chinese stocks listed on US exchanges with a market capitalization of more than $1 billion and a forward P/E ratio of less than 15, as of November 15. We narrowed down our selection to 10 stocks that were the most widely held by institutional investors and ranked them in ascending order of the number of hedge funds that have stakes in them, as of Q2 of 2024.
Why do we care about what hedge funds do? The reason is simple: our research has shown that we can outperform the market by imitating the top stock picks of the best hedge funds. Our quarterly newsletter’s strategy selects 14 small-cap and large-cap stocks every quarter and has returned 275% since May 2014, beating its benchmark by 150 percentage points (see more details here).
Vipshop Holdings Limited (NYSE:VIPS) is a leading consumer cyclical company with operations in China’s online retail market. The company offers branded products on its vip.com website, while it operates via its segments including sales, product distribution, and offering of goods on its online platforms. Vipshop offers products from more than 17,000 domestic and international brands.
Vipshop Holdings Limited (NYSE:VIPS) has demonstrated strong results so far in 2024 despite the economic constraints in China. During the second quarter, the company posted a revenue of $3.77 billion, exceeding consensus estimates by $108.72 million, while the gross profit increased by 2.2% year-over-year to $872.6 million. Thanks to Vipshop’s robust business strategy, the company reached peak operational efficiency. The company’s active SVIP members soared by 11% from a year ago and accounted for 40% of Vipshop’s online spending.
Vipshop Holdings Limited (NYSE:VIPS) has a solid business model and the results continue to back its growth. The key to the company’s growth in these tough economic circumstances is its discount retail model. Vipshop’s gross merchandise value (GMV) from Made for VIP increased over 140% year-over-year in Q2.
Overall, VIPS ranks 8th on our list of cheap Chinese stocks to buy according to hedge funds. While we acknowledge the potential of VIPS as an investment, our conviction lies in the belief that AI stocks hold greater promise for delivering higher returns and doing so within a shorter timeframe. If you are looking for an AI stock that is more promising than VIPS but that trades at less than 5 times its earnings, check out our report about the cheapest AI stock.
