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The board of Valley National Bancorp (NASDAQ:VLY) has announced that it will pay a dividend of $0.11 per share on the 2nd of January. The dividend yield will be 4.2% based on this payment which is still above the industry average.
Check out our latest analysis for Valley National Bancorp
Valley National Bancorp's Earnings Will Easily Cover The Distributions
Impressive dividend yields are good, but this doesn't matter much if the payments can't be sustained.
Valley National Bancorp has established itself as a dividend paying company with over 10 years history of distributing earnings to shareholders. Past distributions do not necessarily guarantee future ones, but Valley National Bancorp's payout ratio of 70% is a good sign as this means that earnings decently cover dividends.
Looking forward, EPS is forecast to rise by 99.0% over the next 3 years. Analysts forecast the future payout ratio could be 42% over the same time horizon, which is a number we think the company can maintain.
Valley National Bancorp Has A Solid Track Record
The company has been paying a dividend for a long time, and it has been quite stable which gives us confidence in the future dividend potential. The most recent annual payment of $0.44 is about the same as the annual payment 10 years ago. Slow and steady dividend growth might not sound that exciting, but dividends have been stable for ten years, which we think makes this a fairly attractive offer.
Dividend Growth Potential Is Shaky
Investors could be attracted to the stock based on the quality of its payment history. Unfortunately things aren't as good as they seem. Over the past five years, it looks as though Valley National Bancorp's EPS has declined at around 11% a year. Dividend payments are likely to come under some pressure unless EPS can pull out of the nosedive it is in. On the bright side, earnings are predicted to gain some ground over the next year, but until this turns into a pattern we wouldn't be feeling too comfortable.
We should note that Valley National Bancorp has issued stock equal to 10% of shares outstanding. Regularly doing this can be detrimental - it's hard to grow dividends per share when new shares are regularly being created.
In Summary
Overall, a consistent dividend is a good thing, and we think that Valley National Bancorp has the ability to continue this into the future. The earnings coverage is acceptable for now, but with earnings on the decline we would definitely keep an eye on the payout ratio. This looks like it could be a good dividend stock going forward, but we would note that the payout ratio has been at higher levels in the past so it could happen again.