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The board of Valley National Bancorp (NASDAQ:VLY) has announced that it will pay a dividend on the 1st of April, with investors receiving $0.11 per share. This makes the dividend yield 4.9%, which will augment investor returns quite nicely.
Check out our latest analysis for Valley National Bancorp
Valley National Bancorp's Earnings Will Easily Cover The Distributions
We like to see robust dividend yields, but that doesn't matter if the payment isn't sustainable.
Having distributed dividends for at least 10 years, Valley National Bancorp has a long history of paying out a part of its earnings to shareholders. Past distributions do not necessarily guarantee future ones, but Valley National Bancorp's payout ratio of 63% is a good sign as this means that earnings decently cover dividends.
Over the next 3 years, EPS is forecast to expand by 91.9%. Analysts forecast the future payout ratio could be 39% over the same time horizon, which is a number we think the company can maintain.
Valley National Bancorp Has A Solid Track Record
The company has an extended history of paying stable dividends. The most recent annual payment of $0.44 is about the same as the annual payment 10 years ago. Although we can't deny that the dividend has been remarkably stable in the past, the growth has been pretty muted.
Dividend Growth Is Doubtful
Investors could be attracted to the stock based on the quality of its payment history. However, things aren't all that rosy. Valley National Bancorp has seen earnings per share falling at 6.1% per year over the last five years. A modest decline in earnings isn't great, and it makes it quite unlikely that the dividend will grow in the future unless that trend can be reversed. However, the next year is actually looking up, with earnings set to rise. We would just wait until it becomes a pattern before getting too excited.
An additional note is that the company has been raising capital by issuing stock equal to 10% of shares outstanding in the last 12 months. Trying to grow the dividend when issuing new shares reminds us of the ancient Greek tale of Sisyphus - perpetually pushing a boulder uphill. Companies that consistently issue new shares are often suboptimal from a dividend perspective.
In Summary
Overall, we think Valley National Bancorp is a solid choice as a dividend stock, even though the dividend wasn't raised this year. The earnings coverage is acceptable for now, but with earnings on the decline we would definitely keep an eye on the payout ratio. The payment isn't stellar, but it could make a decent addition to a dividend portfolio.