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US stocks dived on Tuesday after a second day of stunning reversals, as Wall Street veered from jubilation in the morning towards fear at the close over President Donald Trump’s trade war, which is scheduled to kick into a higher gear after midnight in Washington, DC.
After roaring to an early gain of 4.1%, which had it on track for its best day in years, the S&P 500 quickly lost all of it within a few hours.
It then careened all the way to a loss of 2.6%. That brought it 19.7% below its record set in February.
The Dow Jones Industrial Average was down 683 points, or 1.8%, after giving up an earlier surge of 1,460 points, while the Nasdaq composite was down 3.2%, as of 3.39pm Eastern time (8.39pm BST).
The shocking swings followed rallies for stocks globally earlier in the day, with indexes up 6% in Tokyo, 2.5% in Paris and 1.6% in Shanghai.
But even after those jumps, analysts had been warning to expect more swings up and down for financial markets not just in the days ahead but also the hours.
The big question remains centred on how long Mr Trump will keep his stiff tariffs on other countries, which would raise prices for US shoppers and slow the economy.
If they last a long time, economists and investors expect them to cause a recession. But if Mr Trump lowers them through negotiations relatively quickly, the worst-case scenario can be avoided.
Hope still remains on Wall Street that negotiations may be possible, which helped drive the morning’s rally.
Mr Trump said on Tuesday that a conversation with South Korea’s acting president helped them reach the “confines and probability of a great DEAL for both countries”.
“Their top TEAM is on a plane heading to the US, and things are looking good,” Mr Trump said on his Truth Social platform.
“We are likewise dealing with many other countries, all of whom want to make a deal with the United States.”
Japanese stocks led global markets higher after the country’s prime minister, Shigeru Ishiba, appointed his trade negotiator for talks with the US. It was based on an agreement between Mr Ishiba and Mr Trump, Japanese officials said.
But investors should still remain cautious, said Sameer Samana, a senior global market strategist for Wells Fargo Investment Institute. He pointed to how “the key countries continue to escalate, rather than de-escalate”.
China said it will “fight to the end” and warned of countermeasures after Mr Trump threatened on Monday to raise his tariffs even further on the world’s second-largest economy.
That led White House press secretary Karoline Leavitt to say Mr Trump’s threats of even higher tariffs on China will become reality after midnight, when imports from China will be taxed at a stunning 104% rate.