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Last week, you might have seen that ATN International, Inc. (NASDAQ:ATNI) released its first-quarter result to the market. The early response was not positive, with shares down 7.3% to US$16.04 in the past week. Revenues were in line with expectations, at US$179m, while statutory losses ballooned to US$0.69 per share. Earnings are an important time for investors, as they can track a company's performance, look at what the analysts are forecasting for next year, and see if there's been a change in sentiment towards the company. So we collected the latest post-earnings statutory consensus estimates to see what could be in store for next year.
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Taking into account the latest results, ATN International's dual analysts currently expect revenues in 2025 to be US$729.3m, approximately in line with the last 12 months. The loss per share is expected to greatly reduce in the near future, narrowing 95% to US$0.12. Yet prior to the latest earnings, the analysts had been forecasting revenues of US$728.0m and losses of US$0.12 per share in 2025. So it's pretty clear consensus is mixed on ATN International after the new consensus numbers; while the analysts held their revenue numbers steady, they also administered a modest increase to per-share loss expectations.
View our latest analysis for ATN International
With the increase in forecast losses for next year, it's perhaps no surprise to see that the average price target dipped 11% to US$29.00, with the analysts signalling that growing losses would be a definite concern.
Taking a look at the bigger picture now, one of the ways we can understand these forecasts is to see how they compare to both past performance and industry growth estimates. It's pretty clear that there is an expectation that ATN International's revenue growth will slow down substantially, with revenues to the end of 2025 expected to display 1.4% growth on an annualised basis. This is compared to a historical growth rate of 12% over the past five years. Compare this against other companies (with analyst forecasts) in the industry, which are in aggregate expected to see revenue growth of 2.9% annually. So it's pretty clear that, while revenue growth is expected to slow down, the wider industry is also expected to grow faster than ATN International.
The Bottom Line
The most important thing to take away is that the analysts increased their loss per share estimates for next year. Fortunately, the analysts also reconfirmed their revenue estimates, suggesting that it's tracking in line with expectations. Although our data does suggest that ATN International's revenue is expected to perform worse than the wider industry. The consensus price target fell measurably, with the analysts seemingly not reassured by the latest results, leading to a lower estimate of ATN International's future valuation.