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A week ago, Inogen, Inc. (NASDAQ:INGN) came out with a strong set of third-quarter numbers that could potentially lead to a re-rate of the stock. Revenues and losses per share were both better than expected, with revenues of US$89m leading estimates by 5.6%. Statutory losses were smaller than the analystsexpected, coming in at US$0.25 per share. Earnings are an important time for investors, as they can track a company's performance, look at what the analysts are forecasting for next year, and see if there's been a change in sentiment towards the company. We thought readers would find it interesting to see the analysts latest (statutory) post-earnings forecasts for next year.
View our latest analysis for Inogen
Taking into account the latest results, the most recent consensus for Inogen from four analysts is for revenues of US$343.0m in 2025. If met, it would imply a reasonable 3.5% increase on its revenue over the past 12 months. The loss per share is expected to greatly reduce in the near future, narrowing 30% to US$1.55. Before this latest report, the consensus had been expecting revenues of US$340.8m and US$1.68 per share in losses. It looks like there's been a modest increase in sentiment in the recent updates, with the analysts becoming a bit more optimistic in their predictions for losses per share, even though the revenue numbers were unchanged.
These new estimates led to the consensus price target rising 5.3% to US$10.00, with lower forecast losses suggesting things could be looking up for Inogen.
One way to get more context on these forecasts is to look at how they compare to both past performance, and how other companies in the same industry are performing. For example, we noticed that Inogen's rate of growth is expected to accelerate meaningfully, with revenues forecast to exhibit 2.8% growth to the end of 2025 on an annualised basis. That is well above its historical decline of 0.7% a year over the past five years. By contrast, our data suggests that other companies (with analyst coverage) in a similar industry are forecast to see their revenue grow 8.3% per year. Although Inogen's revenues are expected to improve, it seems that the analysts are still bearish on the business, forecasting it to grow slower than the broader industry.
The Bottom Line
The most obvious conclusion is that the analysts made no changes to their forecasts for a loss next year. On the plus side, there were no major changes to revenue estimates; although forecasts imply they will perform worse than the wider industry. We note an upgrade to the price target, suggesting that the analysts believes the intrinsic value of the business is likely to improve over time.