Unlocking Exelixis (EXEL) International Revenues: Trends, Surprises, and Prospects

Zacks Equity Research

Mon, May 19, 2025, 9:15 AM 4 min read

Have you evaluated the performance of Exelixis' (EXEL) international operations during the quarter that concluded in March 2025? Considering the extensive worldwide presence of this drug developer, analyzing the patterns in international revenues is crucial for understanding its financial resilience and potential for growth.

The global economy today is deeply interlinked, making a company's engagement with international markets a critical factor in determining its financial success and growth path. It has become essential for investors to comprehend how much a company relies on these foreign markets, as this understanding reveals the firm's potential for consistent earnings, its capacity to harness different economic cycles, and its overall growth prospects.

Presence in international markets can act as a hedge against domestic economic downturns and provide access to faster-growing economies. However, this diversification also brings complexities due to currency fluctuations, geopolitical risks and differing market dynamics.

Upon examining EXEL's recent quarterly performance, we noticed several interesting patterns in the revenue generated from its international segments, which are commonly analyzed and observed by Wall Street experts.

For the quarter, the company's total revenue amounted to $555.45 million, experiencing an increase of 30.6% year over year. Next, we'll explore the breakdown of EXEL's international revenue to understand the importance of its overseas business operations.

Exploring EXEL's International Revenue Patterns

Japan generated $5.56 million in revenues for the company in the last quarter, constituting 1.00% of the total. This represented a surprise of -14.64% compared to the $6.51 million projected by Wall Street analysts. Comparatively, in the previous quarter, Japan accounted for $6.35 million (1.12%), and in the year-ago quarter, it contributed $7.59 million (1.78%) to the total revenue.

During the quarter, Europe contributed $32.7 million in revenue, making up 5.89% of the total revenue. When compared to the consensus estimate of $69.34 million, this meant a surprise of -52.84%. Looking back, Europe contributed $41.29 million, or 7.29%, in the previous quarter, and $35.7 million, or 8.40%, in the same quarter of the previous year.

Revenue Forecasts for the International Markets

For the current fiscal quarter, it is anticipated by Wall Street analysts that Exelixis will report a total revenue of $565.43 million, which reflects a decline of 11.3% from the same quarter in the previous year. The revenue contributions are expected to be 2.1% from Japan ($11.76 million) and 14.5% from Europe ($81.92 million).

For the entire year, the company's total revenue is forecasted to be $2.32 billion, which is an improvement of 7.2% from the previous year. The revenue contributions from different regions are expected as follows: Japan will contribute 1.5% ($35.18 million) and Europe 12.2% ($283.48 million) to the total revenue.

Closing Remarks

The dependency of Exelixis on global markets for its revenues presents a mix of potential gains and hazards. Thus, monitoring the trends in its overseas revenues can be a key indicator for predicting the firm's future performance.

In an environment where global interconnections and geopolitical skirmishes are intensifying, Wall Street analysts keep a keen eye on these trends, particularly for firms with overseas operations, to adjust their earnings predictions. Moreover, a range of other aspects, including how a company fares in its home country, significantly affects these projections.

Emphasizing a company's shifting earnings prospects is a key aspect of our approach at Zacks, especially since research has proven its substantial influence on a stock's price in the short run. This correlation is positively aligned, meaning that improved earnings projections tend to boost the stock's price.

Our proprietary stock rating tool, the Zacks Rank, with its externally validated exceptional track record, harnesses the power of earnings estimate revisions to serve as a dependable measure for anticipating the short-term price trends of stocks.

Exelixis currently has a Zacks Rank #2 (Buy), indicating that it could outperform the broader market in the near term. You can see the complete list of today's Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy) stocks here >>>>

A Review of Exelixis' Recent Stock Market Performance

Over the past month, the stock has gained 25.5% versus the Zacks S&P 500 composite's 13.1% increase. The Zacks Medical sector, of which Exelixis is a part, has risen 0.1% over the same period. The company's shares have increased 23.2% over the past three months compared to the S&P 500's 2.3% decline. Over the same period, the sector has declined 9.5%.

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This article originally published on Zacks Investment Research (zacks.com).

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