After UAW victory in Tennessee, what’s next for unions in the South?

When the news was announced Friday night that the United Auto Workers had successfully organized Volkswagen workers in Chattanooga, the supporters gathered at I.B.E.W. Local 175 jumped, cheered and hugged.

The results were hardly in doubt from the moment the first tally was posted. The union lead by more than 70% and kept that lead throughout the night.

In the end, 73% of the eligible VW workers voted to join the union, according to the National Labor Relations Board, which oversaw the three-day election. Of the 4,326 workers eligible to vote, 3,613 cast ballots.

The historic victory is the first step in the UAW's campaign to grow its membership in the South, a region that has been historically anti-union.

"They said Southern workers aren’t ready for it. But you all said, watch this. You all moved the mountain," UAW President Shawn Fain said to cheering VW workers after the victory.

The UAW’s win follows big successes for the organization that staged a successful strike last year against the three largest U.S. automakers. The UAW is now concentrated on influencing the growing number of foreign auto plants and newer companies like Tesla and Rivian across the South.

Today more than two-thirds of Americans express support for unions in the most recent Gallup poll. That supportive environment fades somewhat in Tennessee, according to the newly released poll by the Beacon Center, a conservative-leaning think tank. It found that 44% of likely voters in the state have a positive view of the UAW’s effort to organize VW, 19% had a negative view and 21% were neutral.

In February, the union’s board unanimously voted to spend $40 million on its organizing efforts — mostly targeted for campaigns in the South.

It will get another chance in a mid-May vote to organize workers at the Mercedes-Benz plant near Tuscaloosa, Alabama.

The story of unions in the South

Friday's win marked a stark reversal from UAW’s dismal track record in Chattanooga, where it previously lost bids to organize the VW plant in 2013 and 2019.

This year, the third time was the charm.

“I want to salute of you who have been in this fight for over a decade. Your fortitude is what delivered this," Fain said.

This third, victorious election occurred months after the UAW staged a strike and won a favorable contract for 145,000 workers at Ford, Stellantis and General Motors, including the GM plant in Spring Hill near Nashville.

Workers at VW who supported the union drive said they and their colleagues were energized by the pay and concessions the UAW secured following last year’s strike.