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Trump's Feud With the Fed: Should Investors Be Worried?

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All of the major stock market indices were sharply lower on Monday, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average, S&P 500, and Nasdaq-100 all down by about 3% for the day, adding to recent declines.

The main reason for the declines is President Donald Trump's intensifying pressure on Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Power to lower interest rates. In a social media post, Trump warned that the U.S. economy could slow down unless interest rates were to fall right away and called on Powell to do just that.

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To be sure, Trump's criticism of the Fed, and Powell in particular, is nothing new. Although Trump himself appointed Powell during his first term, he frequently criticized Powell in the years leading up to the COVID-19 pandemic for raising interest rates despite a lack of inflation.

What's different this time?

The major difference this time is that Trump has openly mentioned Powell's "termination," even though the president doesn't (at least under most interpretations) have the legal authority to fire the Federal Reserve chair. Not only is Trump making comments like this on social media, but Trump's legal team is reportedly investigating whether he can legally remove Powell.

For context, Powell's term as Fed chair officially expires in May 2026. And Powell has made it very clear he intends to finish his term, and that Trump cannot legally remove him.

Powell has also discussed Trump's trade war as a potential reason rates could stay elevated. He recently said that "For the time being, we are well positioned to wait for greater clarity before considering any adjustments to our policy stance." In other words, despite Trump's criticism, he's in no rush to lower rates.

Should investors worry?

The reason investors seem to be on edge is that the independence of the Federal Reserve has been a key part of the U.S. financial system for many years.

Several financial experts and notable politicians have warned investors about what could happen if Trump actually attempts to fire Powell. Senator Elizabeth Warren, D-Mass., who has herself openly questioned the Fed's decision to keep interest rates relatively high, warned that the stock market could crash if Trump attempts to fire Powell. Evercore ISI Vice Chairman Krishna Guha said the market would likely sell off. CNBC senior analyst Ron Insana said that such a move would hurt global confidence in the United States.